Alan's best bet of the day ran an cracking race under the brilliant steerage of Brian Hughes to win at Ascot yesterday, today he is looking for his third profitable day in a row with two selections from Ffos Las and Market Rasen...
"He certainly seems to like it here having finished first, second and fourth on his three starts to date"
Bernard Llewellyn's charge Flanagans Field has had five starts this season and produced a top four finish in all of them but is yet to add to his last victory over todays course and distance off 8lbs lower in March last year. The ten-year-old was beaten nine lengths at Taunton over further last time out but is dropped 2lbs today, heavy going awaits him and although this is a slight drop in trip to his more recent runs this two miles or so will still take some getting in these conditions.
The current market favourite is Holdbacktheriver trained by Evan Williams and this lightly raced six-year-old has plenty of decent form to take his place at the head of the market, especially a very respectable two and a half length second to Landin last time out at Sandown in a novice handicap. However, he is yet to win over hurdles and the Williams team haven't been firing recently, they haven't had a winner from their last 26 runners and jockey Adam Wedge is also on the cold list with no winners from his last 17 mounts. Both have too much quality to stay out of the winners enclosure for much longer but I don't think this race will see them return.
Flanagans Field certainly seems to like it here having finished first, second and fourth on his three starts to date and arrives with a good chance of making another winning visit to the track.
Alan King's hat-trick seeking Nayati receives a very handy four-year-old's allowance for his debut in handicap company and after being put in at a rating of 128 he may well need it. To be fair his last race was a strange affair and he was rather fortunate to maintain his winning record, he looked like he was going to be second at Ascot last month when Gary Moore's charge Et Moi Alors cruised up to take the race but fell at the last leaving Nayati to battle with Oistrakh Le Noir (who ran very wide) to claim her second victory.
Despite him receiving some fortune last time out, the race is working out very well, the second (Oistrakh Le Noir) and a horse brought down early have since come out and won on their next starts and Et Moi Alors finished second on Friday after being sent off the 1/2 favourite.
There are some decent opposition that he will have to overcome if he is to maintain his unbeaten record, Solomon Grey looks the pick of three Dan Skelton runners, he has shown solid form behind some decent novices so far, while Treshnish could well be ahead of the handicapper after receiving just a 3lb rise for a win that may have been somewhat easier than the two lengths official margin, so I expect him to be there again today. It is still early days for Nayati, he will still be improving and learning which is why I think he is better supported with an each way wager today and the price of 13/2 in a 10 runner field is enough to allow that.
2018 Overall (prior to this week): +1.75 pts
This week so far...
Staked: 4 pts
Returned: 10 pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts
*Each Way selections are staked at half a point Each Way