Bets of the Day: Virginia Chick can land the four timer for Evan Williams

Virginia Chick can defy a 9lb rise in the weights
Virginia Chick can defy a 9lb rise in the weights

Alan came close with 8/1 shot Call Me Lord in the Imperial Cup yesterday but it was still a profitable day and he has two more today to add to those profits from Warwick and Market Rasen...

"the horse he dead heated with last time out has gone in twice since and the fourth has won as well, franking the form"

Back Virginia Chick @ 4/1 in the 15:25 Warwick

15:25 Warwick - Back Virginia Chick @ 4/1

Evan Williams six-year-old Virginia Chick has been unstoppable since returning to racing in January after a 77 day break, he is looking to make it four wins in a row as the gelding has taken big steps forward in his last three starts and despite another rise in the weights. He may be 9lbs higher but Miss Isabel Williams is taking the ride and claiming a handy 7lbs and when he dead heated at Ludlow last time out, the horse he won with has gone in twice since and the fourth has won also, franking the form, he looks open to plenty more improvement and I can see him achieving the four timer this afternoon.

The market currently has the hat-trick seeking Oskar Denarius installed as favourite but to be honest I am happy to oppose him. He is making his first start for the Ben Pauling yard so he may well be capable of more but I am not sure how good his last two wins were and in these conditions, I don't think he will see out the trip. I could be wrong but he looks a false favourite to me and therefore I am more than happy to take him on with Virginia Chick today.

16:40 Market Rasen - Back Flemerina @ 9/2

This is a handicap hurdle race over two miles seven furlongs for mares only and with just 13lbs on official ratings between the top and bottom runners it looks competitive. However, I really fancy last year's winner Flemerina to take this prize again. She has been threatening to win again recently having been placed in all four of last races, the last two being well supported in the market and sent off favourite. I think Sue Smith's nine-year-old could reward connections today returning to hurdles off a rating of just 97. All her best form has been on soft/heavy ground and running over two and half miles, I think she looks hard to beat today.

What A Diva running for the Peter Bowen yard looks to be her main threat and is probably worthy of being the favourite in this race, she was last seen finishing a five length second over course and distance in January off a pound lower suggesting she is more than capable off this rating. She has won over three miles on heavy ground at Towcester, so I don't think she will have any problems with today's trip or conditions. My concern for the favourite is she will have to give almost a stone away to Flemerina and in such testing conditions, that might just hand the advantage to Flemerina and at 9/2 against 5/2 I would rather be with Sue Smith's charge.

2018 Overall (prior to this week): +4.75 pts

This week so far...

Staked: 4 pts
Returned: 8.5 pts

2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts

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