Mehronissa scored at 15/2 yesterday for Alan, and he also went close with King Of Paradise who finished second. Haydock stages some of the best action of the weekend, and our man is hoping for a pair of Sir Michael Stoute wins...
"However, Gershwin at 6/4 is short enough, and rated 98 officially, he still is 4lb inferior to Abdon - a horse we are nowhere near the bottom of regarding his abilities in just three starts, and he surely is better than a decent handicapper? If he is, he has to go close here."
Sir Michael Stoute's Arab Spring hasn't been seen for 436 days, but it shouldn't be too much of a negative considering he has won fresh from both seasonal starts in 2014 and 2015, and he lines up in a fascinating renewal of the Group 3 Rose Of Lancaster Stakes.
At six years of age, it's a source of frustration that he has only appeared on the track on eight occasions (although winning five of them, including at Royal Ascot in 2014).
His CV for one so lightly-raced would be one that most horses and connections crave; winning the Duke Of Edinburgh from a mark of 104. Group 3 success in Newbury's John Porter last term, followed by a second in the Brigadier Gerard.
For all that, there's a sense of real unfinished business, therefore I am pleased he remains in training. He's been mentioned for all sorts of races in his career; and his trainer was very complimentary about him two years ago when saying: "He is a big baby boy, but he had superb rhythm and travels well."
He holds a Group 1 Juddmonte International entry at York, and he's been talked about in the past as an Arc and Coronation Cup horse.
This is a quality field with Scottish amongst the rivals, but Arab Spring acts on quick ground and potentially could be a top level horse. The big risk of course is the lay-off, but at 7/2 it's an enticing price considering his ability to win first-time out.
16:15 Haydock - Abdon to show class against Gershwin
Step forward Stoute again; this time with Abdon who lines up in the north west just 30 minutes later. He's not favourite for this, that honour goes to Gershwin - a horse with a serious amount of potential - and he holds a Champions Stakes entry later on this season.
However, Gershwin at 6/4 is short enough, and rated 98 officially, he still is 4lb inferior to Abdon - a horse we are nowhere near the bottom of regarding his abilities in just three starts, and he surely is better than a decent handicapper? If he is, he has to go close here.
Nothing went the way of Abdon when last seen at Royal Ascot; ground, too keen and track position all were factors. He was well down the field in Hawkbill's Tercentary win there, however, he was sent off 4/1 joint-favourite in that contest.
Judging him on the previous start, he finished runner-up to Hawkbill (who has since won the Eclipse), and the tactical nature and dash for the line wouldn't have suited him.
I'm open-minded about the ground, as he is yet to race on a quick surface. His dam Kinnaird scored on good to firm ground - in the Shergar Cup of all races back in 2003! A meeting I've avoided today.
Saturday's Recommended Bets (both half point)
Back Arab Spring @ 7/2 Sportsbook price in the 15:45 at Haydock (also a PROMO RACE)
Back Abdon @ 5.104/1 in the 16:15 at Haydock
Weekly P/L: +3.25
Previous week: -4.80
2015 P/L: +20.14