Bets of the Day: Walford's charge will appreciate the ground and drop in class

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Bact To Black won't mind conditions at Lingfield

Alan found another winner for us at Carlisle yesterday and is looking to keep the winning run going with two from Lingfield and Huntingdon...

"This is a significantly weaker race than last time and he was a course winner here off just 3lbs higher in January"

Back Bact To Black @ 4/1 in the 13:50 Lingfield

Bact To Black was out of his depth last time out, this is more his company

13:50 Lingfield - Bact To Black

Robert Walford's seven-year-old Bact To Black will certainly have to improve on his last two starts if he is to get into the winners enclosure here. His last start he pulled up on chasing bow at Chepstow last month, but that was after a 238 day break and he was out of his depth in that company, as the 50/1 starting price suggests. So I am prepared to overlook his last run and assume it was a case of getting some race fitness into him. This however is a significantly weaker race and he was a course winner here off just 3lbs higher over hurdles in January. These conditions will be of no concern to him and I wouldn't be surprised to see him put up a much improved performance this afternoon.

Nigel Twiston-Davies saddles the favourite in the shape of Ballyart, the lightly raced six-year-old has yet to trouble the judge in his eight career starts and was beaten at short odds last time out at Bangor, finishing fourth of five on his second start over fences. The Twiston-Davies yard are certainly firing in the winners at the minute, so he is an obvious threat and he has dropped from an opening chase mark of 110 to 102 after his two starts over fences, but that is also because he hasn't looked anything special - I am happy to take him on with Bact To Black today.

Armattiekan will strip fitter today

14:40 Huntingdon - Armattiekan

Interestingly Armattiekan, Donald McCain's five-year-old, was the subject of quite a gamble at Stratford last month. He could only finish a distant eighth there but looked badly in need of the run, having been off the course for 154 days. That was also the first time he had encountered soft ground as all of his best runs have been when the word good was in the surface conditions.

Somehow they have found that good ground again today and he has been dropped a handy 2lbs by the handicapper, connections obviously think something of the horse (or someone does), and he was going well in this sort of class finishing second and two thirds on his three hurdle starts in 2019. I think he is worth following today as he should be sharper for that run and on his runner-up form at Bangor prior to that he has to be on the shortlist.

2019 (prior to this week) : -7.65pts

This week so far...

Staked: 8 pts
Returned: 11.58 pts

2019 P&L -4.07pts
2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts

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