Bets Of The Day: Off The Beat to deliver for in form Thomson

Off The Beat Southwell
Today's best bet Off The Beat runs at Southwell

Nick Shiambouros returns with selection from Newcastle and a short priced lay from Southwell...

"Now that he has found the winning thread, he should follow up under a penalty"

Back Off The Beat at 3.8514/5 in the 14:40 at Newcastle

Off The Beat is on

14:40 Newcastle - Off The Beat

Off The Beat can give in-form trainer Sandy Thomson another winner in this novices' hurdle.

This gelding put in a much improved effort when beating Adjutant over this course earlier this month. He rallied to take the lead in the closing stages ,and was pushed out to score. Now that he has found the winning thread, he should follow up under a penalty. At present he is trading at 3.8514/5.

Endlessly beat Sao Maxence easily at Ayr earlier this month and is the main danger.He is the current favourite at 2.186/5 on the exchange.

Ballard to go Down

18:25 Southwell - Ballard Down

I will be pushing the lay button on Ballard Down in this claiming stakes.

This gelding has been disappointing over hurdles the last twice. He has been beaten soundly and appears to have lost his way. His best level of flat form would see him with this by a country mile, but remains to be seen if he retains the same ability. He makes his debut for a new yard, and perhaps the change of scenery has rekindled his spirit. All in all he has a regressive profile, and I am happy to lay him at 2.47/5.

Bond Angel comes in to this race in good form. She loves this course, which counts for a lot round here. She has a bit to do at the weights, but some of her opponents are out of form. At present she is trading at 2.8815/8 on the exchange.

NICK’S WEEKLY P/L

2019 Overall: -3.13

This week so far....
Staked: 21.0
Returned: 17.87
2019 Overall +15.36

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