Bets of the Day: Lucy The Painter can at least make the frame at Kempton

The drop back to eight furlongs will help Lucy The Painter
The drop back to eight furlongs will help Lucy The Painter

Alan's best bet of the day obliged yesterday to make it a winning day for the column, today he is looking to kick on with two selections from Kempton and Plumpton...

"Her last two wins were over today's trip and back in her own sex race with eight runners currently going to post she looks a good each way option."

Back Lucy The Painter Each Way @ 7/1 in the 14:20 Kempton

14:20 Kempton - Back Lucy The Painter Each Way @ 7/1

Ed De Giles five-year-old mare Lucy The Painter has been running in better company than this of late and has slid down the ratings to a mark now that is 4lbs less than when she last won. Her last two wins were over today's trip and back in her own sex race with eight runners currently going to post she looks a good each way option. She has been running over 10 and 12 furlongs for her last nine runs but today she drops back to eight and back on the all weather at Kempton where she last won over this trip in April this year.

Bint Dandy might get an easy lead here and she is another one that has slipped down the weights, 5lbs lower than when placed here in January. However, her best form has come at other tracks and her last appearance here seen her finish last of 13 runners, albeit in better company than this. Another danger is obviously the current favourite Express Lady and she certainly looks like the one to beat, Hugo Palmers three-year-old filly will still have plenty of improvement to come and she looked like the extra furlong today would suit.

The decision was basically between backing Express Lady at 13/8 or Lucy The Painter each way at 7/1, I decided to go with the latter and I'm hoping that all eight make it to post.


15:10 Plumpton - Back Chef Dequipe @ 3/1

This pick is more about reputation than form but the David Maxwell Racing Limited owners thought the five-year-old gelding Chef Dequipe was worth paying a significant amount of money for (130,000 Euros) when they purchased and moved the horse to Somerset and the Philip Hobbs yard from the N De Lageneste yard in France. He won his last race at Auteuil over two and half miles on soft ground over fences and has been given a mark of 122 in the UK. Its hard to assess the French form but on his first run for his new connections off this mark he wouldn't need to be a superstar to get the better of this field and I suspect given the price paid, connections must think he is better than this.

Fixed Rate is the current market leader and certainly looks like his main threat, he was well supported last time out when he won easy in a handicap at Fakenham. However, he has a ten pound hike to cope with today. He has won twice in his career and both times it has been off 110, when he was raised after his first win (raised to 116) he was beaten over 15 lengths in each of his next three starts so he has plenty to prove running off 120 today. I think I would rather put my faith in Chef Dequipe satrting to pay back some of that hefty purchase price.


Recommended Bets

Back Lucy The Painter Each Way @ 7/1 in the 14:20 Kempton
15:10 Plumpton - Back Chef Dequipe @ 3/1


2017 Overall (prior to this week): +29.15 pts

This week so far...

Staked: 6 pts

Returned: 9.3 pts

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