Bets Of The Day: Snap up large odds on Stoute newcomer

Newmarket trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a big priced runner at Kempton
Newmarket trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a big priced runner at Kempton

Alan Dudman's intended lay of Bally Lagan got beat at 1.412/5 in-running, frustratingly just 0.10 shy of the intended target. Monday's racing at Kempton takes centre stage with two juvenile races of great interest...


"Abingdon has the best pedigree on show for this race (and the meeting). She's related to top Ballymacoll resident Hellenic, and other family members include the brilliant Group 1 winners Islington, Greek Dance, and Mountain High."

Back Abingdon at 12/1 Sportsbook in the 16:20 at Kempton

14:10 Plumpton - Tara to handle the testing conditions well

Mondays are Plumpton days, and there's a competitive Mares' Handicap Hurdle on the card that warrants an interest.

Conditions could well be brutal, there's soft and heavy, and there's Plumpton soft/heavy. And one horse that is sure to handle the conditions is Princess Tara.

Jockey Donal Devereux rode her to victory in deep ground twice last term, and after one of those successes, he said: "The ground is key to her, the deeper the better." She picked up those races from marks of 108 and 115. She now has a mark of 122.

Her comeback run was an ultra competitive affair in which Sykes scored (and has run well recently at Newbury). And considering she'll be a lot fitter in a weaker contest, the Bowens can land a win here, as she will love the surface.

I don't particularly rate Tambura (although I am fan of her trainer), whilst Cannon Fodder is a bit quirky. Strange Bird shouldn't be good enough, and Kentford Myth might not handle the ground. Her biggest rival could be Streets Of Promise, but Princess Tara could have more to come this season.


15:50 Kempton - Bin Suroor to continue hot streak

I wouldn't consider myself a racing snob, but Monday is not the most inspiring with no less than nine Class 6 races spread over the two all-weather cards at Kempton and Wolverhampton.

Even Eddie Shoestring would have struggled for clues regarding finding a winner in some of those contests, so it's no surprise I'll be turning to Godolphin in the first division of the mile Maiden.

Trainer Saeed bin Suroor has scored with five of his last six runners. He's had three juvenile first-time-out victors on the spin, and two of his horses on debut last week at Lingfield looked very good. Brave Hero hosed up by five lengths, lowering the course record.

A few years ago, these end of year Maidens would be considered weak affairs, but you feel that Godolphin target some of these less competitive races to get the win, and put them away until the next year.

I scanned some early prices on Sunday and saw 4/1, I would have choked on my Cornflakes had it not been about 5pm, so around 5.204/1 on the exchange is more than appealing.

She's by Exceed And Excel which is a plus, and is well drawn. The horse with the form is Golden Stunner, who has an official rating of 80.


16:20 Kempton - Stoute runner overlooked in the market

Seeing a Sir Michael Stoute newcomer at 12/1 the night before might just indicate the run is needed on debut. Also the second division of this Maiden looks a decent contest.

Up To You and Pure Fantasy come from the same Lingfield race, in which both chased home David Lanigan's newcomer Danilovna. The former is trained by John Gosden and was 6/4 to back overnight on the Sportsbook - which makes no appeal.

Abingdon has the best pedigree on show for this race (and the meeting). She's related to top Ballymacoll resident Hellenic, and other members of the family include the brilliant Group 1 winners Islington, Greek Dance, and Mountain High (all were trained by Stoute).

We have nothing to go on with her mother, as Lookbutdontouch never raced and Abingdon is her first horse to make the track. But we are getting a price, and she's by Street Cry - a sire that excels around Kempton.

She might want further due to her relatives, but that's the case for Up To You as well, and considering the two prices are 6/4 and 12/1 - I'll take the latter, even though there are massive risks attached.


Monday's Recommended Bets

Back Princess Tara @ 3/1 Sportsbook in the 14:10 at Plumpton
Back Peaceful Journey @ 5.204/1 in the 15:50 at Kempton
Back Abingdon at 12/1 Sportsbook in the 16:20 at Kempton


*You can read the latest market news for the Betfair Tingle Creek and Mike Norman's memories of five great winners of the race.


Profit and loss since column launch (one point each bet excluding advised in-running trades)

Last week total: + 3.40

This week total: + 1.00

Running total: +26.85

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