Another profitable day for Alan yesterday as he made it back-to-back winning bets of the day, today he has two more selections from Windsor and Leicester...
"Firelight's handicap debut today off 97 look a very attractive mark for an unexposed type"
Firelight could be too good on handicap debut
Andrew Balding's three-year-old filly Firelight could well be the one to be on in this, despite being off the course for 247 days. She was a two time winner as a two-year-old in novice company and was far from disgraced in three pattern races that followed. Owned by George Strawbridge who has some quality horses in training in North America and across Europe, these connections certainly know the time of day when it comes to breeding and owning racehorses.
She finished fourth in the Lowther stakes last season behind Fairyland, beaten two lengths, Fairyland finished last season as Ballydoyle's highest rated juvenile filly and is now rated 115, that makes Firelight's handicap debut today off 97 look a very attractive mark for an unexposed type.
Although there are only six runners going to post for this there is some quality in this race. The biggest danger looks to be Richard Hughes' runner and current market favourite, Top Breeze, the colt has won three of his five career starts and was bidding for a hat-trick when finding softer ground not to his liking at Chester last time, back on a sounder surface he is sure to be in the mix up but I think he will have to produce another career best if he is to see off Firelight.
It is time for Broad Appeal to get his head in front on the turf
The final race on the Leicester card has intrigued me and I really like the look of Broad Appeal. Trainer Jonathan Portman may well be on the cold list but this horse seems to have everything in his favour today. While he has only managed to get his head in front on the all weather so far, he has made the frame on both of his starts here and I thought he was slightly unlucky in running on his season reappearance at Windsor last time out. He also gets in here off the same mark as that run which is actually 2lb less than his latest all weather winning mark.
He has already finished ahead of the second favourite Ascot Day and as Ascot Day has subsequently come out and won he has also picked up a 4lb penalty. While he is clearly going well and fit, that penalty does make him 2lb worse off with Broad Appeal than when they last met, when Broad Appeal beat him by just over three lengths. On that basis alone I don't see any reason why the selection can't beat him again today and unless something else in the field runs well above what they have previously shown, then I think Broad Appeal is a worthy favourite.
2019 Overall: +17.3pts
This week so far...
Staked: 6 pts
Returned: 9 pts
2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts