Alan hasn't had the best of fortune yet but he has two selections from the nine race card at Yarmouth today to kick start his week...
"This filly was given a rating of 73 and that has now dropped to what could be a very workable 61..."
Marilyn is still looking for her first win as a three-year-old, the Chris Wall filly won at this course as a juvenile but as yet hasn't been able to follow that up. I think ultimately she will appreciate a bit further than today's mile but she will appreciate the good ground and the drop in class at Yarmouth. I think she is a filly with ability and this could be just the type of race to get her back in the winning habit again.
She didn't run too badly on her seasonal appearance at Newmarket in April but then ran disappointingly at Nottingham next time but she may not have enjoyed the ground that day, which was reported to be very "tacky", since then she has been running on the all weather again without too much success. After her maiden win, this filly was given a rating of 73 and that has now dropped to what could be a very workable 61 and with the more than capable James Fanshaw attached apprentice George Wood taking an addition 3lbs off her, I expect her to run a big race today.
Luca Cumani's lightly raced Frankel filly Aljezeera ran third in a listed race at York and then followed that performance up in Group 2 company in the Park Hill at Doncaster, where she dead heated for second with the 102 rated Melodic Motion. With just the four career starts she is still open to plenty more improvement and with Yarmouth expecting a dry, sunny day with temperatures reaching 23C (its mid October!), the going is good, good to firm in places and that will only help Aljazeera.
She is short enough in the betting market and I am not sure I would want to take much shorter than the 2.56/4 (at the time of writing) currently available. But I think she has the beating of Dubka, who was behind her in the Park Hill and the other fancied runner Daphne who followed a good second with back-to-back wins, the second of which was franked by Weekender who went on to finish first past the post in a listed race next time. Of the two main dangers, I fear the Queen's horse Daphne more than Dubka but think Aljazeera can get the better of both of them today.
2017 Overall (prior to this week): +37.97 pts
This week so far...
Staked: 6 pts
Returned: 1.3 pts