Bets of the Day: Leader Writer could break a couple of hearts at Windsor

Windsor Races
Leader Writer will enjoy conditions at Windsor

Alan has two selections today, one from the flat meeting at Windsor and the other from the National Hunt card at Plumpton...

"Despite a penalty he is still 15lbs below the mark he won off at Ascot"

Back Leader Writer @ 3/1 in the 16:00 Windsor

David Elsworth's charge could still have more to offer despite a penalty

16:00 Windsor - Leader Writer

David Elsworth's seven-year-old Leader Writer ran a cracker to win here over course and distance last time on soft ground. Despite winning by just over a length he fooled no-one and receives a 5lb hike in the weights. However, that still leaves him 15lbs below the mark he won off at Ascot in a Class 2 contest a couple of years ago. He relishes this type of going and all his wins to date have come over a mile on soft or heavy ground. With Hayley Turner on board again today, this looks right up his street.

George Of Hearts for George Baker ran on well to finish third behind the selection a fortnight ago and is now 7lb better off, but as I said, Leader Writer won a bit easier than the bare numbers suggest and I think George Of Hearts will have to improve again if he is to get any closer.

Another that could be a problem is Prince Of Harts who has put in some very decent efforts in handicap company at Ascot. He gets in here of the same mark and could be the main threat, but I am siding with Leader Writer to get home in front again.

Rosy World could be on her way to bigger and better races than this

16:10 Plumpton - Rosy World

If Suzy Smith's six-year-old mare Rosy World is fit then she should have the measure of these. It's been 224 days since the mare last seen a racecourse but fortunately her rivals have all also been out of action for some time. Her last run in March this year was her first start in handicap company and she ran out an easy winner over course and distance under today's jockey Ben Godfrey who claims a useful 7lbs.

If any more rain was to fall then that would only enhance her chances of winning as she will enjoy the soft conditions. Providing she continues her upwards progress she looks more than capable of ranking higher than this and therefore taking this race on her way to higher class racing.

According to the market Sir Ivan will give her the most trouble, but I am happy to take on Harry Fry's nine-year-old today. He is winless over obstacles since 2017 and was weakening approaching the last over a furlong less than this at Uttoxeter on good ground last time out, the time before that he was beaten out of sight when he never stayed three miles at Cheltenham. He is 2lbs lower than his last effort but with just one win from fourteen starts over hurdles has to be a concern. I think a bigger threat to the selection looks like coming from Paul Nicholls charge Dan McGrue, who is another that looks to be progressive and is returning after a wind operation.

2019 (prior to this week) : +2.95pts

This week so far...

Staked: 6 pts
Returned: 3.75 pts

2019 P&L +0.70pts
2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts

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