Alan Thompson returns to the tipping chair for the next seven days, and with no UK racing, he has selected a couple of interesting runners to follow from the Dundalk evening card...
"she has already won of 63 and 58 in the past, she might just be ready to go in again off a mark that she is clearly more than capable of winning off"
Sleepy Head is stepping up in trip today
Patrick Flynn's six-year-old mare Sleepy Head has finished second in three of her last four starts at this track. Last time out she was sent off joint favourite and although she was never going to catch the winner she certainly looked like this step up in trip might just suit her as she stayed on well at the end. The handicapper has only raised her 1lb for that effort (running off 59 today) and as she has already won of 63 and 58 in the past, she might just be ready to go in again off a mark that she is clearly more than capable of winning off and a race that there doesn't look to be too much to worry about.
The biggest danger in the field could be the unexposed Madame Delavanti, this four-year-old filly has only run six times, she is making her first start for a new stable and this is her handicap debut. Her last start was at this track over 10 furlongs where she finished a distant fourth off 2lbs higher than today's mark. Her new trainer Adrian McGuiness, isn't in the best of form though with no winners from his last 10 starts over the last two weeks and that is a little off-putting. She could be too good for these and any market moves in her favour would be interesting but preference is for the tried and tested Sleepy Head.
Man Power could just have too much class for these
I have been drawn into this maiden race, not normally the type of race I get involved in, but I am intrigued by Man Power. The first thing you will notice is that he has been off the course for 483 days, normally that would be enough to put me off. But, despite him never seeing a race track as a three-year-old his juvenile form is pretty impressive. Last time he ran here (although it was a long time ago) he was only beaten a length and a half by a horse called Andesh who has since been successful in America winning at Santa Anita, the fourth placed finisher that day River Boyne has also been successful stateside, both winning decent $32,000 stakes races.
The current favourite Royal Court is obviously the one to beat from the Joseph O'Brien yard. Connections have wisely dropped him back to six furlongs today, as he hasn't got home over further in his four starts to date. If official rating are to be believed in this race then he should win easily, he is only rated 2lb inferior to Man Power but he is receiving a stone. That said, he is plenty short enough for a race like this and I would much rather take a chance on Man Power retaining some of that early promise and being ready for this with his first time visor on, than back the jolly.
2019 Overall: +10.00pts
This week so far...
Staked: 0 pts
Returned: 0 pts
2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts