Bets of the Day: Arecibo should get the race run to suit today

Ascot finish
Arecibo should be charging late at the leaders

Alan Thompson returns this Friday with a selection from the first day of the King George meeting at Ascot and one from the evening card at York...

"It seems he is much better when patiently ridden and I suspect that will be the plan today"

Back Arecibo @ 6/1 Each Way in the 16:45 at Ascot

Arecibo is getting better with every run

16:45 Ascot - Arecibo

Arecibo was an expensive purchase from France, when he moved to David O'Meara's yard. However, things didn't look to be working out for the four-year-old as he finished down the field in his first three runs. As a result of his poor performances, not only was he cut by the handicapper (9lbs) but also the vet. Since that gelding operation, he seems to have found a a new found interest in the game and is performing much more as expected, winning at Ayr and then followed that success up with a very decent second at Ripon.

Both the Ayr and the Ripon runs seen him revert to a waiting game rather than try and set the pace, it seems he is much better when patiently ridden and with Jamie Spencer on board today and a fast pace assured, I suspect that will be the plan today. He will be doing all his best work in the final stages of the race and as a result he is probably going to have to find a safe passage, for that reason I think at 6/1 the safety net of backing him each way is the play. Initially, I was disappointed to see only 15 runners going to post but as this is Betfair Extra Place race on the Sportsbook, you can get a fifth of the odds and four places (as long as there are at least 11 runners).

Frankellina's Oaks form looks good enough at this level

19:30 York - Frankellina

I am finding it difficult to get past Frankellina in the fillies race at York, it is hard to look beyond her as she drops back to listed level. Far from disgraced in the Oaks, she will enjoy the return to this trip and the quicker surface. She has also ran well here in the past, finishing runner up in the Musidora over this distance in May.

I can easily excuse her Royal Ascot run last time as the ground wasn't right for her and even though connections had sounded some notes of caution about her inexperience before the Oaks, she was still only beaten less than five lengths at Epsom and that classic form looks good at this Listed level.

She has had a 36 day break since her poor performance at the Royal Meeting and the easier company she faces today should be all the encouragement she needs to get back to winnings ways.

2019 Overall: +14.76pts

This week so far...

Staked: 0 pts
Returned: 0.00 pts

2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts

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