Bets of the Day: The ultra consistent Arthington can get back to winning ways at Ayr

Horses jumping hurdle
Arthington is the class horse in the field

Alan Thompson returns today and is looking to get his week of to the perfect start with two selections from the meetings at Ayr and Newbury...

"The five-year-old is returning to a class that will suit and he will have no issues with the quicker conditions"

Back Arthington @ 5/2 in the 14:05 Ayr

14:05 Ayr - Back Arthington @ 5/2

If you ignore his run at the Cheltenham festival where he was out of his depth, Arthington hasn't finished worse than third in his last eight starts. Seamus Mullins' ultra consistent five-year-old is returning to a class that will suit and he will have no issues with the quicker conditions. He is ridden by his regular partner Kevin Jones who can claim an additional 5lbs off, Kevin has been on board for all three of his wins to date and I think at the weights he is more than capable of making it four.

Rather surprisingly, Brahms De Clermont is the current market leader, I am happy to take him on with Arthington as he only has a couple of odds-on wins in fairly easy Taunton contests this season and when he was upped in grade in February he struggled finishing second last and his jumping will need to have improved dramatically if he is to win this, I would be surprised if he goes off favourite. I think the biggest threat to the selection is Fin And Game from the Donald McCain yard, the lightly raced six-year-old is unbeaten in both his starts over hurdles and could still have lots of improvement in him. While I fear him, I don't think he will be up to the standard of Arthington today.

16:35 Newbury - Back Tigre Du Terre @ 5/2

This Class 3 contest has some decent types in it but the one that makes the most appeal to me is the Richard Hannon colt Tigre Du Terre. In his final race as a juvenile he was sent off the 15/8 favourite for a Class 1 listed race at Doncaster, where he finished two lengths behind Tip Two Win who has subsequently come out and finished second in group company. On his return to action this season he again found a good one who was too strong at Kempton on the all weather. I think he has more to offer at the middle distances, has the class to win a race like this and Ryan Moore is in the plate, there is plenty to like about him today.

Rastrelli finished a good fourth at Newmarket in the Zetland Stakes back in October but has to carry a 3lb penalty for that effort and in a field of this quality that could be the difference. Frankie Detorri is on Bartholomeu Dias who was fourth in the Chesham at Royal Ascot back in June and I think he is the biggest threat to Tigre Du Terre. The favourite at the time of writing is Bombyx, he made a promising debut over the mile at this venue in September and then went on to win at Leicester easily enough. However, I am not convinced that form is as good as some of the others.

Its a race full of quality and they will all probably win their fair share of races but today I want to be with Tigre Du Terre.

2018 Overall (prior to this week): +9.75 pts

This week so far...

Staked: 0 pts
Returned: 0 pts

2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts

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