Another two winners for Alan yesterday and he is looking to continue his good run with two more from Huntingdon...
"He is nudged up 3lbs today to 102 but he has winning form over fences off a 1lb higher mark than that in the past so it's not something he can't handle"
Gentleman Moore providing no more rain falls looks to have a good chance
Gentleman Moore is in the form of his life, he has won two of his last four starts and finished placed on the other two occasions. He will be partnered today by his regular jockey, 3lb claimer Daniel Hiskett, who has ridden him on seven of his last eight starts. A fourth win could well be on the cards for Natalie Lloyd-Beavis's nine-year-old gelding, the forecast is for a sunny dry day which is perfect as we wouldn't want any more rain falling. He was an easy winner at Newton Abbot in July and returned to winning ways with a nice success at Uttoxeter a month ago (both times ridden by Hiskett). He is nudged up 3lbs today to 102 but he has winning form over fences off a 1lb higher mark than that in the past so it's not something he can't handle, he looks to have a great chance of going in again.
The current market favourite is Land League who was runner up twice over fences at Market Rasen in August. But he has now had two wind operation since May, suggesting there may be an issue there and he is yet to get his head in front over fences after five attempts. His single win from 17 starts came over hurdles at Bangor over two years ago, I think I would be looking elsewhere. The one to beat could be Teeton Power, her latest outing was excusable and she'd been going the right way prior to that. With Richard Johnson booked she could be a thorn in the side. There isn't much between the front three in the market, but providing the forecast is right my money is on the in-form Natalie Lloyd-Beavis runner.
Transpennine Star's weight rise is offset by Jonjo O'Neill Jr's claim
Jonjo O'Neill's charge Transpennine Star rarely puts in a bad round, placed in eight of his previous ten hurdling starts. He finally got off the mark over timber on his return from a five month break. He was brave that day and rallied gamely under pressure over two and a half miles at Hexham to win. He gets a 3lb rise for that but this is offset by Jonjo O'Neill Jr's claim so he is effectively escaping the penalty. The expected good ground is fine but even if the ground turns soft it won't disadvantage him and he is stepped back up to his optimum trip, I think he can go in again today.
Jen's Boy is the favourite for Nicky Henderson, but he also started favourite last time out and was beaten 28 lengths, running off a career high 111 he finished fourth of five at Worcester. He has to go off the same mark again today and while that may well have been a one off, I would still like to see if that is a manageable mark before siding with him. Another that could be in with a chance is Nigel Hawke's unlucky Lord Ballim, this horse has as many letters in his recent form as numbers, unseating at Chepstow in March was pulled up at Worcester June and then slipped up (when going well) last time out at Perth. If he can stay upright then you have to give him a chance but I would much rather be on the consistent Transpennine Star.
2019 (prior to this week) : -4pts
This week so far...
Staked: 9 pts
Returned: 17.95 pts
2019 P&L +4.95pts
2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts