Alan Thompson returns to the tipping chair today and starts his week off with two selections from Newcastle and Chelmsford City...
"This opening mark of 80 could be underestimating him"
Astro Jakk despite losing has improved on each of his last two starts
Karl Burke's three-year-old Astro Jakk makes his handicap appearance this evening after recording progressive Racing Post Ratings in his last three starts in novice company.
After winning on his debut at Southwell in March he has lost by less than a length and a neck, twice off improving types. On that form, this opening mark of 80 could be underestimating him. His owner John Dance has plenty of runners at Newcastle and the local owner has also enjoyed a fair amount of success at the track. With P J McDonald in the plate, I am expecting another bold show.
I would have expected to see him more popular as everything looks set for a good night for connections.
Magical Spirit is probably the one that I would be most concerned about, Kevin Ryan's lightly raced three-year-old looked an improved sort after a wind operation assisted him in winning over course and distance in Spetember. This well bred son of Zebedee could still have more to offer, despite a 4lb hike in the weights, and is the one Astro Jakk will have to get ahead of if he is to win this.
Falcon Cliffs has shown a better attitude in her last two starts
This Galileo, out of Canford Cliffs, five-year-old mare Falcon Cliffs won on her racecourse debut at Lingfield but that was 21 starts ago and she hasn't bothered the judge again until her last two starts.
She was only beaten a short head at Wolverhampton two runs back over two miles and finished a running on third over twelve furlongs at Kempton last time, this return to further today will be to her liking. The handicapper has kindly kept on the same mark 55, having been running off a mark of 76 just last year, she looks certain to be there at the business end of the race.
There are two other interesting runners in the field that could give the selections something to think about, the first is Miss Swift for Marcus Tregoning. She is a double-figure price but has run admirably on her two starts at this track and I while I can't see her beating Falcon Cliffs I wouldn't be surprised to see her make the frame.
The one I am more concerned about is Royal Dancer for Sylvester Kirk. Her last start is what put me off her and onto the selection bit but prior to that had been progressing and on her day she could be a threat. I think its between them but Falcon Cliffs looks a horse running into form where Royal Dancer could be heading the other way.
2019 (prior to this week) : -7.65pts
This week so far...
Staked: 0 pts
Returned: 0 pts
2019 P&L -7.65pts
2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts