Alan has identified a couple of runners that shouldn't be impacted negatively from the expected rain that is due at both Musselburgh and Epsom...
"We haven't seen I'm Available since the Royal Ascot run but she was progressive prior to that and her best form has come on softer ground so today's going looks a big plus and I expect her to get back to winning ways."
I'm Available to walk into the winners' enclosure today
Andrew Balding's filly I'm Available looks to hold an excellent chance of landing the Class 3 Handicap for three-year-old's at Epsom today. She has taken a big step forward on turf this season and although she found the Sandringham at Royal Ascot too tough last time this she will find this 0-90 handicap much more on her level. We haven't seen her since the Royal Ascot run but she was progressive prior to that and her best form has come on softer ground so today's going looks a big plus and I expect her to get back to winning ways.
I think Alfred Boucher will try and take them along and he is another that will enjoy the softer conditions. He found similar conditions very much to his liking at Salisbury, where he was able to dictate from the front. However, I don't think he will get a soft lead today and that may find him out. Another front runner is Hot Team for Hugo Palmer, he won in listed company on soft ground, but that is looking like a one-off performance as his form prior and since have just not been at the same level.
As long as I'm Available doesn't get involved in an early duel for the front I think she can pick these off and get her head in front where it matters.
Not On Your Nellie could be a horse on the up
There has been plenty to like in the last two starts from the well-bred Not On your Nellie for Nigel Tinkler, she could well be capable of better still now that she embarks on her handicap career from what looks a workable opening mark (64). She has shown form on both good to firm and good to soft so I don't think that connections will be too concerned at what the weather does. I think she has a decent chance however the ground turns out.
I think the favourite is worth taking on, especially if the ground is soft (as expected), Michael Dods' grey filly Shepherds Way may have won here over course and distance last time but that was on good to firm ground, prior to that when she has encountered ground with the word soft in it she hasn't been sighted, finishing 10th of 15 at Ripon, she also has a 4lb rise in the weights for winning here last time. She could well be open to further progress and that Ripon run may well have just been a bad one, but I am happy to take her on with Not On Your Nellie.
2019 (prior to this week) : -4pts
This week so far...
Staked: 3 pts
Returned: 5.95 pts
2019 P&L -1.05pts
2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts