Bets Of The Day: Ever So Much ready for a trade at Sedgefield

Back-to-lay selection Ever So Much runs at Sedgefield on Tuesday
Back-to-lay selection Ever So Much runs at Sedgefield on Tuesday

No joy for Alan Dudman yesterday, so he turns his thoughts to the jumping cards at Southwell and Sedgefield on Tuesday...


"However, it's nagging me he couldn't get past a real tough one just eight days ago. Drifter won a poor race last time, whilst Ian Williams (who has hit a bit of form) saddles the 'potential' horse Howaboutnever."

Back-to-lay Ever So Much from 3.8014/5 to 1.654/6 in the 15:40 at Sedgefield

14:20 Southwell - Back Shady Glen

Supporters of Shady Glen last week at Warwick will not like me for reminding them of his late fall. I empathise, as I backed him myself.

Don McCain's Court Of Law won the contest eventually, but if Shady Glen had not tipped up, the prize money would have gone to Graeme McPherson's six-year-old. He had just started to assert in the race, and backers believed so too - matched at 1.402/5.

Prior to his mishap last week, he was jumping really well, and those Warwick fences can be really tricky. He is taking quite a drop back in trip here to try the minimum for the first time - so I'll assume he'll be gunned out to gain a rhythm. The ground will also suit. You should also consider throwing in a higher price in-running to get matched (if he doesn't set the pace).


14:55 Southwell - Back Swing Hard

Sue Smith's seven-year-old should have a good chance in this small field handicap chase now that he is down to a mark of 110.

You have to forgive a really tame ending to his previous campaign. He's had a break, and his best performance came on good ground when scoring at Newcastle - where he really impressed in his jumping.

Cut The Corner is in the race, he's a serial placed horse and has a 1.01. However, Swing Hard still has a bit of potential, even though his profile suggests he is far from consistent. But I would rather take him at a price of 6/1.


15:40 Sedgefield - Back-To-Lay Ever So Much

Ever So Much really should have won last time out. The six-year-old was running all over Dartford Warbler at Uttoxeter and was matched at a low in-running of 1.341/3. He was out-battled and out-gunned, but it's hard to crab the effort too much as the pair were seven lengths clear.

That was also a better affair, and this looks a drop in grade for the son of Westerner. These conditions will suit; good ground at 2m4f on a speed favouring track.

However, it's nagging me he couldn't get past a real tough one just eight days ago. Drifter won a poor race last time, whilst Ian Williams (who has hit a bit of form) saddles the 'potential' horse Howaboutnever. I'll throw in a short-price lay for the first time this week, because Ever So Much looks a good trading tool.


Tuesday's Recommended Bets

Back Shady Glen @ 3.505/2 in the 14:20 at Southwell
Back Swing Hard @ 6/1 Sportsbook price in the 14:55 at Southwell
Back-to-lay Ever So Much from 3.8014/5 to 1.654/6 in the 15:40 at Sedgefield


Weekly P /L (one point each bet excluding advised in-running trades)

Last week total: -3.30

This week total: +1.25

Running total: +14.95

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