Bets Of The Day: Go low with Broughton at Stratford

Broughton's trainer John Ferguson
Broughton's trainer John Ferguson

Alan Dudman hopes to sign off with a couple of winning selections at Goodwood and Stratford on Thursday...


"In fact, the effort at Hexham last time was particularly lamentable, having lost all interest in the race whilst jumping slowly - which doesn't bode well for his debut run over the larger obstacles."
Lay in-running Broughton @ 1.402/5 in the 15:55 at Stratford

14:05 Goodwood - Back Racing History

Racing History is a full brother to Godolphin's crack horse Farhh, and is beginning to make a name for himself out of the shadows of his illustrious sibling.

He put up a really classy performance to win a Chester handicap over 10f to make it two from two this term, a victory that followed an emphatic sweeping-to-the-front victory in a maiden at Haydock.

The Saeed bin Suroor trained three-year-old now takes his deepest steps into a hot handicap, and he'll have to be very good to win this from a mark of 99. Interestingly he has an entry in York's Great Voltigeur next month, and there's no denying he potentially could be up to that class.


15:10 Goodwood - Back Trip To Paris

The Goodwood Cup has always been one of my favourite races, and I loved watching the great Double Trigger during the 1990s. I was to come across 'Trigger' at Cheltenham one day, during a stallion parade. He eye-balled me and looked a fairly fearsome customer. I can see why he prevailed in some of those titanic tussles during his career.

Quite what he would have made of the young upstart Trip To Paris I'm not sure, but Ed Dunlop's four-year-old is progressing so fast, he's mirroring the excitement of when Studio 54 first opened in New York.

The scary thing for his rivals could be that he hasn't stopped his improvement. He won the Ascot Gold Cup with his trademark turn of pace, and that quality could be lethal around Goodwood.

He done me a favour in winning at 10/1 then (I regret not putting up the BSP which was 20.3!), and I am hoping he does the same again. Big Orange is a danger, but he's a strong galloper that might be susceptible to something with gears. Hopefully he wins and then heads to the Melbourne Cup.


15:55 Stratford - Lay Broughton

Harold Wilson once said of the great Tony Benn that "he immatures with age", and the same comments could apply to Broughton who tries fences for the first time at Stratford.

He actually won at Glorious Goodwood for Mark Johnston a few years ago (those were the days), but since his first win over hurdles, his performances (admittedly in some good races) have left a lot to be desired.

In fact, the effort at Hexham last time was particularly lamentable, having lost all interest in the race whilst jumping slowly - which doesn't bode well for his debut run over the larger obstacles. There's a new combo of headgear tried too.

With only three runners it won't be top of the 'to watch' list, but it means we can go ultra-low here as I don't trust him in a finish.


Thursday's Recommended Bets

Back Racing History @ 4.804/1 in the 14:05 at Goodwood
Back Trip To Paris @ 4/1 in the 15:10 at Goodwood (Sportsbook price)
Lay in-running Broughton @ 1.402/5 in the 15:55 at Stratford


Weekly P /L (one point each bet excluding advised in-running trades)

- 8.20

Previous seven day P/L + 3.98

Total: + 12.70

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