After a stalemate yesterday (a win and loss), Alan Dudman returns for his penultimate preview this week, and is looking to Kempton on Wednesday night for his Sportsbook bet.....
"Stepping up a further furlong at Kempton should suit Aabir, especially with the potent turn of pace he displayed on his debut."
14:40 Hamilton - Blue Sonic and Rodrigo De Torres
The last time Rodrigo De Torres scored, it was way back in 2013, a record which could mirror his footballing namesake. That victory was actually Hamilton's Scottish Stewards' Cup from a mark of 93. He's now down to 65 and he's too well handicapped to ignore.
Last year was a complete write off (both for Rodrigo and Fernando), but he showed some sparkle behind Meshardal at Thirsk two starts back. I would ignore the run last time due to soft ground, and in his younger days he made the running which I like at this track.
The other mention is for Blue Sonic, who has no weight on his back on Wednesday. He's overpriced compared to Rock Canyon judged on the pair meeting at Ayr last month. He travelled that day like a runner who shouldn't hold a record of 0-11.
18:00 Newton Abbot - More Buck's
Nicky Henderson's Towering can hopefully win this, and he's the key horse here from an in-running lay strategy.
It comes down to a match between him and More Buck's, and considering the market will be dominated by the pair, then hopefully Paul Nicholls' hurdler can trade short enough in the run to get matched.
He looked very slow in the finish recently at Exeter, although he might improve for the quicker ground. However, that lack of pace in a finish is a worry, and I'll order around 1.351/3 in-play.
I watched old some old Abba clips last week ahead of Eurovision, and it was a similar story on Tuesday - watching some old Aabir clips.
Marco Botti's 3yo has been backed a little on the Sportsbook, and at the time of writing he is priced up at 3/1, and for a horse who looks to have a decent turn of foot, he can rate as a serious player in this handicap.
Aabir ran in a warm race at Doncaster last time, where the winner Subcontinent got a cute ride in front. Cute wouldn't be an adjective to describe the passage of the selection that day - 1) caught in a pocket, 2) caught out when the pace quickened, and 3) caught in a second pocket...you get the idea.
For all that, he was only beaten two lengths, and stepping up a further furlong at Kempton should suit, especially with the potent turn of pace he displayed on his debut.
Wednesday's Recommended Bets
Back Blue Sonic 9.08/1 and Rodrigo De Torres 9.08/1 in the 14:40 at Hamilton (0.5 pt on each)
Lay More Buck's @ 1.351/3 in-running in the 18:00 at Newton Abbot
Back Aabir @ 3/1 in the 20:10 at Kempton (price on Sportsbook)
Weekly P /L (one point each bet excluding advised in-running trades)
Previous seven day P/L -0.13