Bets Of The Day: Start the evening with a lay of Lemoncetta

Lemons aren't the only fruit at Newmarket - lay Lemoncetta
Lemons aren't the only fruit at Newmarket - lay Lemoncetta

Alan Dudman returns for his latest seven day tipping stint, and has picked a couple of bets at Ascot and Newmarket on Friday...


"Of course she will enjoy the new test in terms of distance, but there's every chance she could be just plain average."

Place Lay Lemoncetta @ 1.608/13 in the 17:35 at Newmarket

14:55 Ascot - Back Highland Castle and Havisham

The staying contest is named after the legendary Brown Jack, and a statue stands at the track in honour of the great horse - a much smaller one than that of Yeats incidentally. Unfortunately Alfred Munnings wasn't called to commission a similar piece of artwork after Highland Castle's run at Epsom last time. He was given far too much to do by Tim Clark, his run was so late it was almost posthumous.

He met a bit of trouble that day too, but the performance was basically a write off. However, he's always been a talented performer on his day and Clark gets the opportunity to make amends here.

I think the step back up to two miles is a positive, and there's every chance he'll be held up way off the pace with his smooth travelling style. If his rider can pick them off and be in a good position to attack from the turn, he's a danger despite drifting out to a big price on Thursday night.

I'll also throw into the race Havisham, who is gradually getting the hang of things. The horse settled better at Ascot on his latest outing - a big thing for the son of Mount Nelson, who was too keen in earlier races.

He has no turn of pace and looks a thorough stayer. He's the only three-year-old in the line-up and races from the lowest weight - receiving chunks from his rivals. Given he wants the trip (second try), a test and he's unexposed, he could go well.


17:35 Newmarket Place Lay - Lemoncetta

With only five in the field, I want to take on John Gosden's filly in the place market as this looks a tricky affair. I've watched Lemoncetta's three latest races quite a few times, and she doesn't strike me as a horse with anything in hand of the handicapper. I certainly wouldn't rate her as progressive.

In each of those efforts she has been pushed along quite a long way from home. Granted, she looks as though she wants the step up to 1m2f; which she will get on Friday evening, as confirmed pacesetter Trulee Scrumptious is sure to go from the front.

But she has been comfortably beaten in each of her starts to date and races in a handicap against more experienced rivals. Of course she will enjoy the new test in terms of distance, but there's every chance she could be just plain average.


Friday's Recommended Bets

Back Havisham to win @ BSP and Highland Castle to place @ 5.04/1 in the 14:55 at Ascot
Place Lay Lemoncetta @ 1.608/13 in the 17:35 at Newmarket


Weekly P /L (one point each bet excluding advised in-running trades)

0.00

Previous seven day P/L + 3.98

Total: + 20.90

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