With a couple of good winners under his belt, Betfair Ambassador Ryan Moore returns to talk through who of his rides he thinks will do the business on day four of Glorious Goodwood...
"Last year's winner Battaash is the obvious horse to beat, even with his 3lb penalty, but I think I could maybe be the main beneficiary if he doesn't run up to his best for whatever reason." - Ryan Moore on Sioux Nation's chances
A stronger group than listed
I thought he would go close to winning at Newmarket last time, and he did, but it was obviously disappointing to be beaten by ½ length there. It was still a good performance, and one probably not far off his best, as the winner, Best Solution, is a very smart horse on his day. A reproduction of that run would arguably make him the one to beat, and he was impressive in a course-and-distance win back in May.
It will probably be quicker ground here than it was at Newmarket, and that won't be a problem. You don't have to look too far for dangers, with Red Verdon and Second Step very solid in this grade, and it is interesting to see Eminent stepped back up to this trip for the first time since the Derby. It's a good Group 3, probably more like a Group 2 in quality.
He finished fourth in a Dewhurst at two, and filled the same position in the Irish 2,000 Guineas, so it was good to see him get his head in front for the first time since his maiden success when winning at Naas last week. He obviously steps back up in class here but hopefully that win will have been a nice confidence-booster, and his Classic form puts him right up there.
I do have a lot of time for Regal Reality though; I liked him when I rode him to win at Yarmouth last season and again when he was sixth in the Heron Stakes at Sandown in May, when not beaten far. There is more to come from him, though there needs to be.
I rode him when he won a valuable handicap at Chelmsford in June, when he did well to overcome a wide draw, and that form has worked out. He ran under a 5lb penalty in the Hunt Cup and he did pretty well again to finish eighth. He is 2lb higher here but this is just his 12th start, and 1m on fast ground look to be his conditions. William's horses are in good form again here this week so, with the usual proviso of luck in running, I can see him going well.
Last year's winner Battaash is the obvious horse to beat, even with his 3lb penalty, but I think I could maybe be the main beneficiary if he doesn't run up to his best for whatever reason. I don't know what went wrong with Sioux Nation in the Commonwealth, but we knew he was a good horse and he proved that with a close fifth in the July Cup. That improved run didn't surprise me at all.
The horse who finished a nose in front of him at Newmarket, Sir Dancealot, won the Lennox stepping up to 7f on Tuesday, but I think going down a furlong is the right move with this horse. He has bags of pace, and 5f looks more his trip at the moment.
Her two stand-out runs to date - namely, her Irish 1,000 Guineas second to Alpha Centauri, and her Jersey third - make her the clear form choice here. She obviously hasn't run up to that level on her last two starts, but she ran better over 6f at Naas last time and the step back to 7f is in her favour.
He is a lightly-raced and well-related colt, and he is going the right way. He ran well when fourth in a decent Chester maiden in May and then finished third to a couple of progressive horses, and an impressive winner, on his handicap debut at Ascot last time. He has gone up 1lb in the weights for that run, but that doesn't concern me, and neither does the step up in trip.
In fact, this longer trip looks set to suit him judged on that Ascot run. Off a mark of 82, I can see him running well here. He has a fair bit to recommend him in a race we won with Poet's Word two years ago.
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