Glorious Goodwood Thursday Tips: Ree's Rascal one to watch at a big price

Tony has picked four horses for consideration today at Goodwood

Betfair tipster Tony Calvin has four selections for you to get your teeth into ahead of a big day's racing on Thursday at Glorious Goodwood...

"He was one of a whole host of horses who didn’t get any kind of run when 8th in a 1m handicap at this meeting last season. He gets on well with Nathan Alison, who won on him at Newbury in June, and he finished a fair second at Windsor last time."

Back Ree's Rascal at 15.014/1 or better in 17:25

This seems to be a bit of a taboo subject in the racing media - and some may venture, a touch coarse - but I don't think anyone should shy away from it.
 
We clearly witnessed the passing of one of the all-time great trainers in Sir Henry Cecil last month. A ten-time Champion Trainer and winner of 25 domestic Classics, 15 of which were with fillies, he trained by feel.
 
Indeed he once said: "I do everything by instinct really, not by the book. I like to think I've got a feeling for and understand my horses, that they tell me what to do really."
 
So when a genius like that dies, it must leave the greatest of holes, not only in horse racing as whole, but especially in his stable.
 
But, unless I am mistaken, I haven't heard anyone really relate the fact that he is not in charge any more to the betting ramifications of his absence at Warren Place.
 
There is a very good reason why Manchester United are 3.711/4 to win the Premier League this season, and not 2.77/4. And that, of course, is largely because Sir Alex Ferguson is not at the helm.
 
And the fact that Sir Henry isn't hands-on - or on-hand - any more must have a betting impact, especially when you are assessing difficult-to-train fillies.
 
This occurred to me when looking at the Lillie Langtry Stakes at 15:45, where Wild Coco will line up as the hot favourite. 
 
Presumably, as a 5yo with just seven starts under her belt, she would have had the Henry "eyes and ears" treatment to coax her to two from two last season, one of those victories coming in this race first time up.
 
Now, I am sure Lady Jane Cecil and Henry's trusted assistants like Mike Marshall are highly competent - and to be fair they have kept the winners flowing from the yard - but you have to think that Wild Coco is exactly the kind of horse where the master will be most missed.
 
And, I'll be honest, that is one of the reasons that I am siding with Elik here.
 
At around the 4.03/1 mark or bigger, she is probably one of the shortest-priced horses this column has tipped, but the more I look at this race the more it is a two-runner race.
 
He probably doesn't remember but when I spoke to Ryan Moore about this horse before her reappearance in a 1m1f Wolverhampton maiden one Saturday night in April, he told me that this was a stayer in his opinion and he has been proved right on the evidence of her Ribblesdale third last time.
 
That form is probably about 7lb shy of Wild Coco's but course winner Elik is on the upgrade and is expected to improve again for the step up in trip. She wouldn't want any more rain though, as she wants it good or faster.
 
Lightning is about to strike though as the more I look at the Goodwood Cup at 15:15, the more I can't get away from the market leader. Back Mount Athos at 4.57/2 or bigger.
 
I think it is fair to say that Mount Athos didn't get the run of the race when fifth in the Hardwicke, and would have bustled up the winner with a clear passage.
 
Regardless, his overall form - which includes another unlucky run, namely his fifth in the Melbourne Cup, over this trip - looks a cut above his rivals and I can see him winning this well.
 
I do have two slight reservations. The first is that he has been beaten on both his starts here, and the second is that his path to Melbourne keeps on changing, it seems. But this does look a very winnable race for him.
 
At a bigger price, I am going to take a chance with Jallota in the Richmond Stakes at 14:45, at 1514/1 or bigger. Expect an appropriate Rule 4 if and when Parbold is withdrawn, though.
 
The reason why he is such a big price is that he was slightly disappointing in a Group 3 at The Curragh last time.
 
But it still wasn't a bad effort, and a look at his earlier form strongly suggests he shouldn't be a double-figure price here, as he brings solid Group 2 form to the table and his earlier Newmarket maiden defeat of Brown Sugar reads pretty well now, too.
 
He is worth chancing.
 
Mushaakis would be my idea of the winner in the opener and Majestic Moon makes most appeal in the 3yo 7f handicap, but for my final bet of the day I am going to focus on Ree's Rascal in the 17:25, at 1514/1 or bigger.
 
He was one of a whole host of horses who didn't get any kind of run when 8th in a 1m handicap at this meeting last season. He gets on well with Nathan Alison, who won on him at Newbury in June, and he finished a fair second at Windsor last time.
 
There is nothing sexy or unexposed about him; he is a solid horse who will run his race, and that may be good enough. His rider will have to drop him in from stall 16, but he needs to be produced late anyway, especially over this longer trip.

Recommendations
 
Back Elik at 4.03/1 or better in 15:45
Back Mount Athos at 4.57/2 or better in 15:15
Back Ree's Rascal at 15.014/1 or better in 17:25
Back Jallota at 15.014/1 or better in 14:45

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