Saturday Racing Tips: Tony Calvin's bets from the rest of the card at Epsom

Tony is backing Green Door in the 15:45
Tony is backing Green Door in the 15:45

Racing expert Tony Calvin has already made his Derby selection. Below, he pick two bets from the rest of Saturday's card at Epsom.

Recommended Bets

- Back Gawdawpalin at 38.037/1 in the 14:00 at Epsom
- Back Green Door at 26.025/1 in the 15:45 at Epsom

As with yesterday's column, I'll go through the card in chronological order and it is no surprise whatsoever that Poet's Word heads the betting in the 14:00, given his profile. He hails from a stable that has won this race three times in the past 10 years, and the form of both of his starts this season are working out remarkably well.

He won his Nottingham maiden by two-and-a-quarter lengths last time, and the runner-up won by six lengths at Kempton on Thursday night, the third won his maiden by the same margin, and the fourth also won next time out in a Ripon maiden. It looks red-hot form, and he looks very well-treated off 87.

I wouldn't put you off backing him as he could bolt up in the style that Conduit did for the stable in 2008 (six lengths, if you're too lazy to look), but I am going to take a flier and put up Gawdawpalin at 38.037/1 or bigger.

You have to forgive him a very poor run at Newbury last time - although that's why we're getting the price - but if he returns to the form of his earlier second to another progressive Stoute horse at Bath, where the third was four lengths away, then he will outrun his massive odds, for sure.

He was never going last time, which is a big worry, but he was an expensive purchase for the yard at 100,000gns as a yearling, is well-related, and the stable won this race four years ago. He handles cut fine.

I can skip through the next two races pretty quickly, as I think Sayana will win the Princess Elizabeth at 14:35, at odds-on and Postponed will take the Coronation Cup at 15:10, at a slightly bigger price (though, not much bigger).

I cannot see much mileage in opposing those two.

I also think 2013 winner Duke Of Firenze has to go well in the Epsom Dash at 15:45. He is 5lb well-in after returning to form for his new stable in impressive style at York last time, and he is a very worthy market-leader.

I also think 2014 winner Caspian Prince is set to run a huge race if he gets to the rail from stall 17 - he is seriously quick on his day - but I am going to suggest a horse who is, strictly speaking badly-handicapped, in the shape of Green Door at 26.025/1 or bigger.

Yes, I started singing the old Shakey song, too...

He is set to race from a 2lb lower mark in future but I think the handicapper has been too hasty, as I thought there was much more promise in his run at Thirsk last time. He is now 7lb lower than he was after making all and bolting up by six lengths in a first-time visor at Beverley last season and, perhaps crucially, that headgear is back on again on after three starts without it in this country in 2016.

If highly capable 3lb claimer Tom Marquand can get handy from stall 13, then he has chances in what is quite clearly a very competitive race. Humidor and Mukaynis are others that I can see running well at a price, too.

Nothing stands out as a bet in the two RUK races at the end of the card, though Waseem Faris and Zanetto would be my two against the field in the 17:50.

Good luck.

Recommended Bets
Back Gawdawpalin at 38.037/1 in the 14:00 at Epsom
Back Green Door at 26.025/1 in the 15:45 at Epsom

For my Epsom Derby Tips please read my special standalone Derby column behind the link.

Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open your account today using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn - £/€20 Back in cash if your bet loses
Bet Now

T&Cs apply.

Discover the latest articles

Read past articles