Wednesday brings three race meetings from Kempton, Lingfield and Leicester and here to arm you with all the betting info is our man Daryl Carter.
"He needs to prove he can jump and stay this vastly different distance, and there's not a whole lot on ratings between these three for which he concedes race-fitness. Odds-on backers are dancing with the devil a bit here."
Again it's another quiet day where all-weather racing eclipses the sole jumps meetings at Leicester two to one. This is a typically calm period for National Hunt racing after a Christmas bonanza, but surely the racing calendar can do better than this in the future?
On to today's racing, I have searched high and low for some betting angles and have taken a closer look at Leicester's three runner Novice chase but apologies if we are a little light today.
Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.
The morning market drifters !
Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?
13:05 Lingfield - Deputise 6/4 OUT 9/4
Mark your card
The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!
At Kempton in the 16:00 Handicap, trainer Alice Haynes has a 36% strike rate with handicap debutants and saddles Isobel Moore 9.08/1 who looks a possible improver now switched to this sphere.
Jockey Richard Kingscote has three rides at Kempton today, and he has been operating at a 37% strike rate at this venue. His best chance of the day looks to be on Bella Colorossa 2.26/5, for which he has a two for two 100% strike rate for trainers John Best and Karen Jewell.
Trainer Roger Varian has had just one entry in the 18:00 Novice Stakes in the last ten years and won with a 20/1 chance. Today he goes back to the race he won at Kempton in 2019 with Sharac 7.513/2.
In the 15:50 Handicap Chase at Leicester, Ryan Potter's Big Bad Buzz 5.59/2 makes his handicap/chase debut. His runner has had wind surgery and gets a first-time tongue-tie similar to that of the yards recent gambled winner Pittsburg who was backed from 150/1 into 11/4.
In the 14:35 Handicap at Lingfield, trainer Ivan Furtado will seek back to back wins for Trevolli 2.111/10 and has made the 189-mile journey for the one runner on the card.
In the 15:35 Handicap at Lingfield, trainer Simon Pearce is profitable to back to the tune of £86 for a £1 level stake at this venue and saddles Noble Peace 5.04/1.
Horses for courses
This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today's tracks and could be in with a chance today.
Weighted to go well
"Weighted to go well" highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.
13:05 Lingfield - El Hombre - Has won off 88 runs off 72
15:50 Leicester - Monty's Award - Has won off 122 runs off 104
16:30 Kempton - Makambe - Has won off 71 runs off 56
17:00 Kempton - Too Shy Shy - Has won off 69 runs off 59
This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.
However, the yard is no stranger to regular long trips, and it may pay to look at Rebecca Menzies Metal Man 2.56/4 at 19:30 at Kempton, who scored for this column eight days ago. She has made the 269-mile journey.
Race of the day
We head to Leicester for their three runner 13:50 2m6f Novices Chase which sees the return of the highly touted Dusart, who will make his seasonal/chase debut. This contest looks a little more tricky than the market suggests, with only six pounds separating all three runners. Tactics could be key here.
All three runners have made running at some point in their careers, so this will likely be a true stamina test.
Dusart looked a very useful horse when scoring on debut over hurdles at Newbury, taking the scalp of the now 147 rated Soaring Glory before being put in his place in an admittedly poor Grade 1 at Aintree. That final race confirmed that two miles were a trip too short for him, and today he makes his seasonal/chase debut and steps up markedly in distance to this 2m6f.
Those are all reasons to think he can improve, and it would be folly to think he doesn't have more to come on the back of his hurdling promise in just two starts last term.
However, this is a price game, and for one so short in the market, they are questions you'd rather he didn't have to answer.
He is only officially six pounds clear of his rivals on a hurdle rating, lacks chasing experience, and has never been right-handed. It's hard to believe his hefty odds-on price tag is a true reflection of his chances regardless of his trainer, connections or his bloodline.
He is the most likely winner of this race, but there will be a better odds-on shot than this throughout the season, surely.
Sail Away, the outsider of three shaped with a good deal of promise on his penultimate start behind a subsequent Cheltenham winner before a not so good run last time at Uttoxeter in a competitive heat.
That has now forced connections to give him a second bout of wind surgery, and if that works, the unexposed nature of his profile and his recent form will provide him with viable claims in this contest.
This is Dan and Harry Skelton's only entry of the day, and it would be no surprise to see them go from the front and turn this into a test, but he clearly comes with risks attached.
Barnaviddaun rounded out his time over hurdles in Ireland with an excellent Handicap Hurdle win in November 2020 in a race that has worked out excellently well and joined David Bridgewater in April last year.
He has had two runs for this trainer and has failed to complete in both, but his latest run at Newbury was full of promise until he unseated his rider three out.
He was still travelling well in that competitive contest before departing despite jumping out to the right and losing ground at plenty of his obstacles.
The switch to a right-handed track will undoubtedly be in his favour, and he is unexposed, race fit and should enjoy this small field. It's hard to knock his chances for all he doesn't have the scope of the market leader.
Big race verdict
Dusart will be all the rage here, and although he has a bit going for him, he has just as much to prove. Dusart was the fresher horse going into Aintree when comfortably brushed aside in a race that hasn't worked out well, and we haven't seen him for 278-days. He needs to prove he can jump and stay this vastly different distance, and there's not a whole lot on ratings between these three for which he concedes race-fitness. Odds-on backers are dancing with the devil a bit here. He could dot up, but BARNAVIDDAUN, who has few questions to answer can play a hand if putting in a blemish-free round - he could throw up a surprise.
Timeform hoping to flash the cash at Lingfield
Timeform's Andrew Asquith highlights a Nap, Next Best and Each-Way selection at Lingfield on Wednesday.
Tony Calvin runs the eye over this weeks ITV races
ITV are showing nine races from Kempton and Warwick on Saturday, and Tony Calvin is here to cast an early eye over the action...
A few people seemed to enjoy my on course bit yesterday in this section, so I thought I would share with you another.
This one was my first day at a new course (I won't mention the name), and it's always a little nerve-racking trying to get to all the boxes with ample time before the first race, even more so at a new course when you don't know where you are going.
It's a rather strange feeling to open a door and walk into a room you have never seen before, not knowing how many people to expect or the clientele. Things like where to stand and how much horsey talk you can get away with without sounding like an extraterrestrial are just two of the things that go through the mind when approaching a door that could open up to a cliff edge - and sometimes it does, metaphorically speaking of course.
Anyway, as the utmost professional I am, I open the door with a big smile on my face - I love this job - dance in like Louis Spence and introduce myself and offer them a warm welcome to the course.
I am rather animated in my talks and speak with a passion, so I am usually on a roll once I get going. I was going through the second race when someone stopped me with a "hold, on, hold, on" shout like they had just spotted a fire in an opposite box and said, "What do you know that we don't then."
Now I am all for client participation, but the tone of the shout was that he wasn't interested at all in what I had to say, implying that I was more of an intruder rather than a helpful hand.
It was rather insulting as the rest of his group turned their heads back to me, waiting for an answer.
It caught me off guard but given I was here working, and he was here drinking - far too much - I might add, I thought the answer was obvious.
"Well, sir", I said patronisingly, I must admit, "just you being here with that long lost friend of mine (beer) in your hand suggests you have more of a social life than I do."
Those in the group who were interested laughed, and the kind gentleman who had approached me in such a "polite manner" with the question shrugged his shoulders and walked to the bar fridge.
I would love to tell you that the rest of the talk went swimmingly well, but in my mind, I rushed it, muddled my words, and it was not my best work.
What's interesting about it is that the rest of the group clapped afterwards and seemed to enjoy it. But that one person's comment and attitude in that box of around 30 was the thing that stuck with me for the day and night.
The moral is, focus on the good and not the bad. Not everyone will like you, no matter what you do.
Until tomorrow, be lucky.
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