Today's Racing News: Cash at Kempton on Monday and where next for Ireland's top trio?

Kempton racecourse
Kempton is today's focus for the magnifying glass in the race of the day.

Good morning. It's Monday, the start of a brand new week, and Daryl Carter is here to talk you through all of the day's racing action...

"At Thirsk, jockey Daniel Tudhope is the top jockey riding today and has a 19.5% strike rate. He has six rides, including on debutant Emily Post 9.0 in the 13:00, for which he has a 40% strike rate for trainer Edward Bethell."

A quiet start to the week with just the four-race meetings Thirsk, Kempton and Brighton host the flat action while Worcester is the sole jumps meeting.

Money Talk

Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section will now highlight market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.

16:15 Thirsk - Club Wexford 16/1 into 12/1
17:45 Kempton - Offering 15/2 into 9/2
18:15 Kempton - Pure Charmer - 7/2 into 3/1
18:45 Kempton - Penguin Island 22/1 into 10/1

The market says LAY!

Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?

17:30 Brighton - Sir Rodneyredblood 5/2 OUT 10/3

The morning market suggests laying Sir Rodneyredblood with support for at least three others in the market pushing his price out from 5/2 to 10/3.

Mark your card

The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!

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There are three races at Kempton today run over six furlongs. Low drawn runners have a higher win-rate percentage, but those drawn high also perform to market expectations and have a better investment return than those drawn in the middle stalls.

Godolphin boys out to do a job for Roger Charlton

At Kempton, trainer Roger Charlton could have a good day. He has booked William Buick for his runner, Fresh Fancy 9.08/1, in the 18:45 Unibet Casino Deposit £10 Get £40 Bonus Nursery Handicap, and the pair have a 67% strike rate at Kempton.

Charlton also books James Doyle for his runner Beheld 3.7511/4 in the 19:15 Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Fillies' Handicap, and together they have a 75% strike rate at Kempton.

The double pays 31.5/1.

At Thirsk, jockey Daniel Tudhope is the top jockey riding today and has a 19.5% strike rate. He has six rides, including on debutant Emily Post 9.08/1 in the 13:00, for which he has a 40% strike rate for trainer Edward Bethell.

He has six rides are as follows: 13:30 Benzema, 14:30 Quilted, 15:05 Golden Hind, 15:40 Lady Rockstar and 16:15 Zumurud.

At Thirsk in the 15:05, Daawy 5.04/1 drops into a Class 5 race for the first time since scoring at Hamilton in 2018 off a career-low handicap mark.

At Brighton in the 15:50 whichbookie.co.uk Free Football Tips Handicap, trainer Gary Moore has had a runner in this race every year since 2014 and has won it twice, both with Hector Crouch riding. They have a 50% win rate (2-4) when partnering up and today have Capricorn Prince 12.011/1.

Lavelle looking to double up at Worcester

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Trainer Emma Lavelle has three runners (two in the 14:20) on the Worcester card today. She is profitable to back blind at this course to the tune of £34 to a £1 level stake. She has an excellent chance of a double on the card with 14:20 Jemima P 2.01/1, Shiroccan Roll 7.513/2 and 16:00 Thunderstruck 4.25.

The doubles pay 8/1 (Jemima P, Thunderstruck) and 30/1 (Shiroccan Roll, Thunderstruck).

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Horses for courses

This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today's tracks and could be in with a chance today.

14:10 Brighton - Mamillius - Has won here three times (23%)
14:10 Brighton - Recall The Show - Has won here twice (100%)
14:10 Brighton - Batchelor Boy - Has won here twice (50%)
16:50 Thirsk - Proud Archi - Has won here twice (29%)
16:50 Thirsk - Our Little Pony - Has won here twice (22%)
17:30 Brighton - King Crimson - Has won here twice (25%)

Weighted to go well

"Weighted to go well" highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.

16:15 Thirsk - Magical Effect - Has won off 73 runs off 61
16:15 Thirsk - Get Knotted - Has won off 89 runs off 72
16:50 Thirsk - Hot Summer - Has won off 81 runs off 71

Form Watch

This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.

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Simon and Ed Crisford have been operating at a 38% strike rate in the last 14 days. Today they have three runners at Brighton. 15:15 Shielded, 16:25 Sense Of Humour and 17:00 Turquoise Kingdom.

Furthest traveller

Trainer David O'Meara has travelled 269 miles to Kempton with Aillsh T 6.05/1 who runs in the 17:45 Unibet Casino Deposit £10 Get £40 Bonus Nursery Handicap. The trainers sole runner on the Kempton card.

Race of the day

Kempton's 19:15 Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Fillies' Handicap looks like a competitive small field event, and is as wide open as the market suggests.

The well-bred Beheld has let favourite backers down on all four runs this season, and her debut win at Newbury hasn't worked out well enough for her to be considered a betting proposition off this handicap mark of 83.

She has clearly got the ability and may get a soft lead here, but there were very few excuses for her the last twice, and it's hard to see where the improvement is going to come from.

Her pedigree is likely the reason for her short prices all season, so while that factor does suggest she is open to further improvement, she needs to show more before punters can trust her.

Divine Magic looks a filly to keep on side, especially when she goes up to 1m plus. She lacks a turn of foot and needs a strong pace to aim at, which could be her undoing here.

Her win at Sandown last time was impressive, but the race fell apart, and the early tempo suited her hold-up position, so she may have been flattered, and that's had a knock-on effect on her price in this market.

She is progressive and likely to hit the frame, but she may prove vulnerable if this turns tactical and the lack of pace in the race is a concern for her supporters.

It's hard to overlook Cry Havoc, who returns from a 299-day absence on this belated reappearance but holds a significant form edge over her younger rivals.

She was progressive last season and only finished outside of the first three when pitched into a deep Listed race here at Kempton.

Before that, she scored over six furlongs here and seven furlongs at Chelmsford in a hot Class 2 event recording an RPR of 97 - eight pounds higher than her current handicap mark of 89.

She looks very well treated on that evidence, and her Newmarket third on her penultimate start last term, and this is the weakest race she has contended since entering handicaps for which she has form figures of 2, 1, 3.

She scored off the back of a 202-day break on return last term, and the drop in class is just another reason to be optimistic about her chances.

She can get the better of Great Vibes who is the clear second choice on form, but may need this first outing for more than 12 months.

Timeform looking for a boom at Brighton

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The Timeform team are hoping to start the week with a bang at Brighton, they have three selections to consider.

Read Timeform tips here.

St Mark's Basilica claims a memorable Irish Champion but where next?

It was a race for the ages as three outstanding top-class horses went into battle on Saturday in the Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown and boy, it did not disappoint.

Less than a length separated St Mark's Basilica, Tarnawa and Poetic Flare at the finish in a thrilling contest where all emerged with credit.

That race has had a ripple effect on future markets, as expected.

St Mark's Basilica is now 12/1 for the Prix de l Arce de Triomphe, but he is more likely to head to the Champion Stakes 5/2 at Ascot 13 days later, for which he may meet Mishriff.

Tarnawa will head to the Prix de l Arc de Triomphe for which she is now as short as 3/1 fav on the back of that performance.

Poetic Flare has a Queen Elizabeth II Stakes entry at Ascot for which he is a 7/1 chance and may meet Baaeed and Palace Pier in what looks like a cracker.

Final Word

The weekend's highlight was easily the Champion Stakes in Ireland, and I can only pass on my thanks to connections for not shying away from the race or avoiding one and other.

It's a shame this doesn't happen more often because that's how we attract new fans to the sport. It was spectacular!

More of the same, please! What a flat season this has been so far.

Until tomorrow, be lucky.

Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7

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