Betfair Tingle Creek day and all the latest news and stats for a superb weekend with plenty of star names and market moves
Yesterday's Stat Of The Day horse ran into second at a big price
Alan Dudman has an extra Saturday special Daily Racing News briefing, and has the angles covered for Sandown, Aintree, Chepstow, Wetherby, Fairyhouse and Wolverhampton
A stellar Saturday if ever there was one. Betfair Tingle Creek day is the headline meeting and there's also the London National to round off the afternoon for fans of the old staying mudders. That's very much the theme at Chepstow too with the Welsh Grand National Trial allied with some fine handicaps. Aintree's Grade 2 Many Clouds Chase and the Becher add to the ITV action, while Wetherby are jumping into the weekend and a 0-140 Handicap Hurdle is the headline race in Yorkshire.
Over in Ireland, Facile Vega is not a backable price at 1/7, but he is most certainly watchable for his first run of the season. And for the evening, Wolverhampton stage a hot 0-105 plus a Fast Track Qualifier. Good luck!
Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section shows market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.
Which horses is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to back?
11:45 Aintree: Jaramillo 17.016/1 into 11.010/1.
12:55 Aintree: Pepsiwithacap 34.033/1 into 21.020/1.
14:05 Aintree: Domaine De Lisle 51.050/1 into 29.028/1, and The Wolf 23.022/1 into 15.014/1.
15:15 Aintree: Whizz Kid 26.025/1 into 15.014/1, Hardi Du Mesnil 21.020/1 into 13.012/1.
13:02 Chepstow: Not Available 17.016/1 into 11.010/1.
15:22 Chepstow: Idefix De Ciergues 26.025/1 into 15.014/1.
15:30 Sandown: Almazhar Garde 21.020/1 into 15.014/1.
12:13 Wetherby: Trac 17.016/1 into 10.09/1.
15:02 Fairyhouse: Whatsavailable 21.020/1 into 15.014/1.
Which horses is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to lay?
12:20 Aintree: Tyre Kicker 2.89/5 out to 3.259/4.
14:55 Sandown: Shishkin 2.01/1 out to 2.26/5.
13:23 Wetherby: Indy Five 3.211/5 out to 3.55/2.
15:08 Wetherby: Amarbelles Dream 2.3811/8 out to 2.56/4.
Click here to read about the best backed runners for the day's action in a regular feature for the biggest market mover from 10:30am
Mark your card
The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!
Seven Extra Place Special races on the Sportsbook for Saturday for each-way seekers, and three are at Aintree including a sighter of the National fences this afternoon with an extra place on offer for the 14:05 3m2f Becher Chase and a field of 22 runners winging around Liverpool. Last year's winner Snow Leopardess is a 14/1 chance on the Sportsbook.
Two more at Aintree to round off the afternoon with the 14:40 2m4f Handicap Chase the second Extra Place Special on offer with a field of 13. Schiehallion Munro was an each-way mover on Saturday morning from 18/1 into 12s.
The finale 15:15 2m4f Handicap Hurdle also has 13 runners. Sizing Pottsie was backed with the lark this morning in the Honeysuckle silks, and moved from 16s into 10s early on today.
Two Extra Places Specials at Chepstow, and one very early in the opening 11:53 2m7f Handicap Hurdle and 13 runners. Joe Tizzard's Lanspark has Chepstow winning form and looks a solid 6/1 shot.
The Welsh Grand National Trial at 13:37 . Secret Reprieve won the race two years ago and is second favourite at 4/1 behind Wayfinder.
One Extra Place Special at Sandown, and it's the final race on the card with the 15:30 3m5f London National. Almazhar Garde for Charlie Longsdon was a market positive this morning and was backed into 14s for some each-way appeal with the four places.
The 12:42 2m1f Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse is another Extra Place Special.
Stat Of The Day
Harry Cobden is the leading rider at Sandown this term with 3-6 at 50% and a profit of +1.37, and he's 11-35 in the last two weeks at 31%. Cobden is seeking his second Tingle win having scored on Politologue, while Nicholls has one of the most impressive stats we'll ever see for a Grade 1, as he has won this race an astonishing 12 times. There's no ducking and diving here.
Horses for courses
This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today's tracks and could be in with a chance today.
13:30 Aintree: Ahoy Senor 2.6313/8 has won here twice (100%).
14:40 Aintree: Clan Legend 13.012/1 has won here twice (100%), and Riders Onthe Storm 3.7511/4 has won here twice (50%).
11:53 Chepstow: Pats Fancy 13.012/1 has won here twice (67%).
13:02 Chepstow: Destin D'Ajonc 13.012/1 has won here twice (100%).
13:37 Chepstow: Secret Investor 6.511/2 has won here twice (100%), Wayfinder 3.02/1 has won here four times (80%), and Secret Reprieve 4.57/2 has won here three times (75%).
14:12 Chepstow: Bells Of Peterboro 9.08/1 has won here twice (50%).
14:55 Sandown: Greaneteen 2.757/4 has won here three times (50%).
15:30 Sandown: Deise Aba 6.05/1 has won here twice (50%).
12:48 Wetherby: You Some Boy has won here twice (100%).
13:23 Wetherby: Grange Ranger 5.04/1 has won here twice (29%).
13:58 Wetherby: Fransham 5.04/1 has won here five times (45%).
Weighted to go well
"Weighted to go well" highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.
14:05 Aintree: Domaine De L'Isle 29.028/1 has won off 144 and today runs from 132.
13:10 Sandown: Wilde About Oscar 9.08/1 has won off 146 and today runs from 135.
18:20 Wolverhampton: Aberama Gold 9.08/1 has won off 101 and today runs from 87.
Saturday's furthest traveller is Kap Auteuil 26.025/1, and a journey of 240 miles from Toby Lawes' Surrey base to Liverpool is in store for the fencer who runs in the 14:40 2m4f Handicap Chase. He is one of a number that likes to get on with it from the front and there's plenty of pace on.
Let's kick off with the numbers at Sandown and the Harry Cobden disciples are enjoying the time of their lives at the moment, as indeed Cobden is, and his month's tally of 30 winners from 80 rides is deeply impressive, as is the profit of nearly +12.00 considering he'd be riding a lot of fancied runners for Nicholls. Cobden rode a canny race in the Grade 2 over hurdles yesterday and he has a ride for Gay Kelleway at a big price this afternoon in the 12:35 2m4f Handicap Hurdle. She won a race very easily last winter for previous trainer Harriet Brown and steps up in class against some decent mares, but if anyone deserves a Saturday winner for her efforts in Ukraine, it's Gay with Plenty Of Time. She's a 15/2 shot.
Henry Daly may have been blind to his big gamble Braganza Boy recently, but I hope he has taken notice of his own stable form, as not only did they have a nice winner with Lady Glitters in midweek he is ticking over nicely, and the stable runners are well worth keeping a beady eye on. His strike-rate in the last month is currently at 33% with 10-30, second only to the unstoppable Paul Nicholls. He has just one runner on the Sandown card on Saturday with Bridge North who goes in the 13:10 3m 2m4f Handicap Hurdle. He produced a nice comeback run at Aintree last time and will certainly suit the return to 3m.
The 6yo was solid in the betting too, floating around from 4/1 to 15/4 on the Sportsbook this morning.
Freddie Gingell has had one ride this term at Sandown and it was a winning one. He has just one booked in Esher this afternoon for Paul Nicholls with Halo Des Obeaux 5.04/1 in the same race against Bridge North at 13:10, and Gingell's claim over the season of 7lb in these big handicaps will be worth its weight in gold.
Alan King's runners at Sandown in five seasons have underperformed backing blind anyway, as he shows a loss of -13.00. He could take away a chunk of that if 13/2 Edwardstone wins today in the Betfair Tingle Creek. Let's just hope the ground is okay for him, as we need him in the race.
Paddy Brennan is the top dog at Chepstow this term in not only winners, but also profit. He is 4-11 in Wales at 36% and shows a profit of +9.50. The veteran of the weighing room is also 6-17 at 35% in the last two weeks and rides Wayfinder in the Coral Welsh Grand National Trial at 13:37. Although the horse was a slight drifter this morning on the Sportsbook from 15/8 out to 9/4, but Brennan did win this with Acting Lass in 2019.
His other strong chance on the Chepstow card is Manothepeople in the 14:12 3m Novices' Handicap Chase. The 7yo got his chasing career off to the perfect start with a win at Chepstow earlier this season and lines up in a hot race. He's second favourite at 9/4 and his trainer Fergal O'Brien 4-18 at the venue this season, and holds a 12% win record at the track in the last five years.
Another man who has enjoyed his forays to Wales this term has been Chris Gordon, and he is 2-5 at 40% so far, while Rebecca Curtis has some of her bigger guns to fire today - including Pats Fancy in the opening 11:53 3mf Handicap Hurdle. Pats Fancy was backed this morning from 14s into 11s, and that move was mirrored early with her newcomer Idefix De Ciergues, who races on debut today in the closing bumper.
Over to Aintree, Hugh Nugent will be out to preserve/enhance his 2-4 record at 50% in the last month and is two winners from his last two mounts. He has an interesting outsider in Fortescue for in-form trainer Henry Daly in the 14:05 Becher Handicap Chase. With the Extra Place Special on the Sportsbook, he is a 28/1 possible for fourth place.
Poor old Sam Twiston-Davies continues on the cold list and is now without a winner from 44 rides. Surely he can break that today at Aintree? Broadway Boy could be the one to get him off that list.
Richard Hobson won the Veterans' race in the week at Haydock and he is 1-1 at Aintree this term with a 16/1 winner, and his Riders Onthe Storm runs in the 14:40. I think Hobson's horses are running into decent nick. Olly Murphy is 4-11 in Liverpool too this term and is 9-56 over the last five years here.
Race of the day
I am going down the handicap route and two big races at Aintree and Chepstow will attract the each-way punters away from the Graded action, and the Welsh Grand National Trial offers the chance to play for a place being an Extra Place Special on the Sportsbook.
Wayfinder looks a worthy favourite and he produced a stellar and magnificent round of jumping on his seasonal reappearance at Chepstow last time to bolt up and a 10lb rise is fully justified after such a fine win. He's now up to 132 and while the ground was pretty quick for his first victory, he won at Chepstow as a novice in soft and looked a thorough stayer on that occasion, and Curtis will be hoping this will be her big one for Christmas.
Previous Welsh National winner Secret Reprieve races in this too, but it's hard to gauge where he is at the moment, and he looked badly in need of the run last time at Carlisle and was beaten 22L in last.
Southfield Harvest goes for Paul Nicholls, and Newton Abbot May form will be tested, which isn't often the case for this - but he won easily in the west Country on that occasion, but he was pulled up on his latest start at Fontwell over 3m3f. He was a classy sort over hurdles and has run in the Denman colours, but was anything like Denman in the jumping department at Fontwell.
Headgear is on, and he is very much a chasing type who acts in soft ground. He could be well treated from 132 and he looks a decent each-way bet at 15/2, and Angus Cheleda's claim of 5lb is most helpful. From the 'Southfield' line of horses, stamina is very much his game.
Paul Nicholls exclusive on his Saturday runners
Betfair Ambassador Paul Nicholls gives his exclusive thoughts on his three chances on the Betfair Tingle Creek card, and one of his main hopes of the day says that "I couldn't be happier with him". Click here to read the lowdown on his Saturday team.
Tony Calvin picked out a huge price winner yesterday, can he do it again on Saturday?
Tony Calvin was in marvellous form on Friday with a huge price winner in the shape of Penna Rossa and he tips five horses for Saturday and Betfair Tingle Creek day, including one at 40/1 each-way.
Click here to read TC's Saturday tipping column.
Timeform preview Aintree on Saturday with a 20/1 each-way pick
Andrew Asquith from Timeform runs the rule over the contenders on the Aintree card on Saturday and the star name Ahoy Senor makes his punting list. He has three bets for Liverpool including one each-way selection at a big price. Click here to read the Timeform tips.
A day to savour, and I couldn't do it justice in a couple of paragraphs, and Betfair Tingle Creek day is one of the highlights as the winter sets in.
I will revisit a story I have probably told on here in the past, but it's concerning paddock watching. We all have our own views on how it helps or doesn't help punting. How often do we hear before the race that the favourite (who is odds-on) looks magnificent, and the rag looks terrible? Personally I don't really know what I am looking at, but you can tell a good-looker when you see one. The best I worked with was Timeform's David Cleary.
The worst? Well I don't know the name, but as it's Tingle Creek day, they paraded before the big race at Sandown many many years ago and one judge remarked on a horse that he didn't look great. It turned out it was THE Tingle Creek, who was the star attraction walking around before racing, but hadn't raced for a long time and had been retired for a while. So perhaps he did need the outing!
Whether it's true or not or just a shaggy dog story I don't know, but it's fun. Less fun than the time I was in the Goodwood parade ring, which is tight at the best of times. A juvenile reared, amongst 20 other 2yos, and scarpered. I dropped my mic and dashed off too.
I am back on Monday and Tuesday next week and no doubt there will be a lot to discuss from a superb Saturday, so good luck with the punting today. You can follow me on Twitter @DudmanAl.