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Daily Racing News: Southfield Harvest a winner in waiting at Wincanton?

Daryl Carter
02 February 2023
4 min read

Daryl is off to Wincanton today for his best bet.

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Thursday's racing comes from Wincanton, Southwell, Fakenham and Chelmsford and on hand, and in search of another headline winner, is Daryl Carter...

Daryl heads to Wincanton's feature for his best bet
A repeat winner for the stat of the day?
Paul Nicholls the man to keep on side in Summerset

Money Talk

Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.

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Mark your card

The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!

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At Wincanton at 13:30, trainer Milton Harris has a 37.5% strike rate in the last 12 months with his runners in a handicap for the first time. He saddles Havaila 7.513/2.

Play each-way as this is an extra place race on the Betfair Sportsbook

At 15:15 at Fakenham, Nicky Henderson and Nico de Boinville will look to enhance their 38% five-year course form with Treyarnon Bay 3.02/1.

At 15:25 at Southwell, Andrew Balding saddles Aztec Empire 2.915/8 and has had a 23% strike rate with horses making their handicap debut. He is also profitable to back in the last two years earning £80 to a £1 level stake.

At 15:50 at Fakenham, trainer Christian Williams has a 30% strike rate when fitting a tongue tie. Today Camulus 4.03/1 gets that headgear for the first time.

At Southwell at 16:35, trainer Charles Hills saddles Alaskan3.7511/4, who has form figures of 000 but has now had a gelding operation, and the trainer has an excellent 34% strike rate. Hills has booked Kieran Shoemark for the ride, and together in the last five years at this venue, they have had a 60% strike rate (6-10).

Betfair's Paul Nicholls is the man to back at Wincanton

Trainer Paul Nicholls has had a 34% strike rate at Wincanton when his horses have been ridden by Harry Cobden in the last five years.

Today he runs:

14:00 Killaloan
15:00 Southfield Harvest
15:35 Lime Avenue
16:45 Larchmont Lass

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Horses for courses

This section highlights the best bets from horses that have won twice or more at today's tracks.

14:30 Wincanton - Harlem Soul - Has won here three times (60%)
19:00 Chelmsford - La Roca Del Fuego - Has won here five times (56%)
20:00 Chelmsford - Kentucky Kingdom - Has won here three times (42%)

Weighted to go well

"Weighted to go well" highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.

13:20 Southwell - Autumn Flight - Has won off 75 runs off 58
14:10 Fakenham - An Marcach - Has won off 101 runs off 87
17:30 Chelmsford - Homer Stokes - Has won off 74 runs off 64

Furthest traveller

Today's furthest traveller is trainer Jim Goldie who has made the 280-mile journey to Southwell with two runners. He saddles St Andrew's Castle 10.09/1 13:20 and Oriental Lilly 17.016/1 16:00.

Goldie has had five winners from 49 runners at this venue with a strike rate of 10%.

Race of the day

Today's feature contest is Wincanton's 15:00 Dick Hunt 'Wigmore' Handicap Chase, where a strong and competitive field of 14 heads to post and the Betfair Sportsbook is paying an extra place!

Paul Nicholls' Southfield Harvest surely has a contest in him off of this winnable rating of 130 on the evidence of his staying on fourth at Chepstow when given far too much to do from the rear of the field.

He did best of those held up in that contest and caught the eye despite a poor round of jumping at Fontwell on return from 557-days off the track. Connections have persisted with him, and he now returns to Wincanton, where he ran an excellent race over hurdles.

It's a positive to see Harry Cobden on board and a revert to front running tactics is not out of the question. They served him well when bolting up in a Novice Chase at Newton Abbot and there is more to come.

The big danger could come from the progressive Certainly Red, who has now got his jumping together after a trip to Hernietta Knights. He has the ability, has notched a course victory here recently, and now has a record of 11421 when going right-handed in the last 18 months.

He makes an appeal back up in distance and will make a good fist off this career-high rating.

It's no negative to see cheek-pieces on a Joe Tizzard runner, and Copperhead remains dangerously well-handicapped. The switch back to fences looks like a good move after being outpaced over the smaller obstacles, and he is no forlorn hope in this field. In fact, I might have a small saver!

Big race verdict

A smashing race, but this can go to Paul Nicholls and Southfield Harvest, who is destined to capitalise on this rating sooner or later and to revert to prominent tactics will serve him well in this company.

Back Southfield Harvest in the 15:10 at Wincanton.

7.5

Mullins to dominate Dublin?

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This weekend's Dublin Racing Festival is one of the last chances to glean major clues for the Irish raiders ahead of next month's Cheltenham Festival, so no prizes for guessing which trainer is set to dominate proceedings. Mike Norman has the details...

Read Mike's column here.

Final Word

It was good to land a punt on Jacamar yesterday at Leicester, and thankfully no chicken nuggets got in the way of this one. He had optimum conditions, but it was a tough watch, and the money was never safe until the final 100 yards.

I am back at Wincanton today on box duty, and I am looking forward to a handful on the card with Southfield Harvest, an old favourite of mine I am desperate to see go well.

I am on the Nicholls bandwagon today with his other runner Fame And Fun, as well as Southfield Harvest, who looks ahead of the assesor and class-dropper Spartan Army for Alan King.

Whatever you bet today, be lucky.

Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7

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