The latest Daily Racing News missive comes from Alan Dudman again, who is looking forward to a couple of all-weather meetings with plenty of stats and info for Dundalk, Kempton and Wolverhampton...
"Waiting for the gaps didn't happen for him and he met some traffic problems late on too. He is a better horse on the all-weather and with a good pace to run at he'll be played late."
Hexham and Lingfield could be the jumps' cards today but they need to pass their morning inspections as Storm Barra continues to sweep around Ireland and the UK, but there's an excellent card at Kempton on Wednesday evening with four juvenile races and potential to throw up something decent. There's also a 0-105 Handicap over 7f as the feature, a race in which Mudlahim and Bellosa are vying for favouritism.
Wolverhampton's Tapeta won't be as testing as Southwell yesterday. That was something else! Eight races are at Dunstall Park and plenty of regulars are in action, with the best race being a 0-80 at 14:10 where Shoot To Kill is likely to be very popular. There'a also a bit of Dundalk for the afternoon at 13:45 for a start.
Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.
12:40 Wolverhampton - Q Twenty Boy - 6.511/2 from 8.515/2
14:40 Wolverhampton - Luscifer - 5.59/2 from 7.06/1
15:20 Hexham - Atomic Angel - 6.05/1 from 9.08/1
The market says LAY!
Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?
16:30 Kempton - Tangled Woods - 10/11 OUT to 11/8
Mark your card
The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!
There is one Extra Place Special race from Wolverhampton on the Sportsbook, and that's the 1m2f Handicap at 13:40 with five course winners. Tio Mio was strong in the betting on Tuesday night at 11/8 off the back of a second over CD two days ago.
Jonny Portman is on the hotlist at the moment with three winners from his last eight runners at a strike-rate of 38%. He saddles Hedora 11.010/1 in the 13:40 and has an each-way chance after a solid effort at the track last time. Apprentice Gianluca Sanna has one ride on the card in the 15:40 1m Handicap with Tyche 4.57/2, and he's in-form with two victories from his last five mounts at 40%.
Hexham has three races with extra places weather permitting, including a devilishly difficult opener at 12:20. The 2m4f Handicap Chase at 13:50 has course specialist Graystown 4.57/2 in the line-up, while the 15:20 Handicap over 3m will be a real test and honours the great Brindisi Breeze.
Trainer Alistair Ralph is in form and hit the mark yesterday with the heavily punted Risk D'Argent, he has four winners from his last 17 runners and has previous Hexham winner Llantara 11.010/1 running on the card in the 14:50 Handicap Chase .
Keep an eye on trainer Richard Bandey, who sent out many point-to-point winners and known for his strike-rate. His horses are in form with three winners from his last 12 at 25%. His last five runners have finished 2212U. Saint Palais was very strong in the market on Saturday winning at Wetherby, and he has Pebbly Lunar Lady 2.915/8 in the opening bumper at Lingfield at 12:30.
Kempton starts at 16:00 and Charlie Appleby's newcomer Kathak 4.57/2 makes his debut in the 1m Novice at 17:00, and he's a full brother to the top-class miler Ribchester. His jockey James Doyle has the best strike-rate over the past five seasons at the track at 23%. Although I wouldn't mind riding some of those bluebloods!
I am personally looking forward to William Haggas' filly Sea Speedwell 2.77/4 run in the 18:00 1m Novice. She was green on her CD debut, but Haggas is the man for these Sea The Stars offspring. He was my favourite horse and always thought he was better than Frankel.
Horses for courses
This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today's tracks and could be in with a chance today.
12:10 Wolverhampton - Inn The Bull 9.08/1 has won here twice (33%), and Monsaraz 10.09/1 has won here twice (33%).
12:40 Wolverhampton - Astrophysics - has won here twice (20%).
14:40 Wolverhampton - Swinging Eddie 3.814/5 - has won here twice (20%).
15:40 Wolverhampton - Central City 17.016/1 - has won here twice (22%), Inexplicable 8.515/2 - has won here twice (20%).
12:20 Hexham - Sophie Olivia 7.06/1 - has won here twice (50%).
12:50 Hexham - Cudgel 4.57/2 - has won here three times (23%), and Real Armani 3.9 - has won here twice (20%).
13:50 Hexham - Graystown 4.3100/30 - has won here four times (33%).
14:50 Hexham - Treshnish - has won here twice (67%).
19:00 Kempton - Diocles Of Rome 6.05/1 - has won here three times (43%), May Night 4.57/2 has won here three times (75%).
19:30 Kempton - City Tour 15.014/1 has won here twice (15%).
Weighted to go well
"Weighted to go well" highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.
13:50 Hexham - Muroor 9.08/1 has won off 95 and runs off 75.
14:50 Hexham - Ettila De Sivola 2.68/5 has won off 113 and runs off 104.
14:30 Lingfield - Doitforthevillage 15.014/1 - has won off 121 and runs off 100.
12:40 Wolverhampton - Qaaraat 4.94/1 has won off 62 and runs off 50.
15:40 Wolverhampton - Broughtons Flare 4.67/2 has won off 65 and runs off 52.
15:45 Dundalk - Brokers Tip 3433/1 - has won off 66 and runs off 56.
This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.
Trainer Sarah Lynam has fired in seven winners from 22 runners this season at nearly 32% - which ranks as one of the highest at Dundalk. It's worth checking out her two runners at the Irish circuit on Wednesday. She saddles No Browsin 17.016/1 in the 1m Handicap at 15:15 who could suit the new distance. Royal Scholar 6.05/1 has course form and ran well over CD two weeks ago. He's drawn high but runners are coming near the stands' side nowadays where it could be riding a bit quicker, and he runs in the 1m Handicap at 15:15.
An each-way double on the Sportsbook multiple pays 101/1.
Trainer Michael Scudamore sends The Dawn Man 9.08/1 282 miles to Hexham and he looks very well handicapped from 72 in the 13:50 2m4f Handicap Chase. He has winning form in testing ground too.
Carluke handler Keith Dalgleish will be earning some Nectar points with miles travelled today, as Red Bond 8.5015/2 is going 271 miles from Scotland to Wolverhampton to run in the 1m2f 13:40 Handicap .
There's also a traveller from Yorkshire, with David O'Meara's Queen's Fair going 269 miles for the 18:00 Kempton. The 2yo filly runs in the famous Cheveley Park silks and was backed for her debut last night from 8/1 into 5/1.
Race of the day
We're off to Wolverhampton for the race of the day and the 14:10 1m1f Handicap, a competitive affair that saw a bit of activity on Tuesday night with some lively price changes on the Sportsbook.
Richard Fahey's Defence Treaty moved from 13/2 to 11/2 and he came from quite a long way back on his return at Chelmsford last time over 1m. He was a little unlucky as the pace and set-up of the race suited those that were up with the speed. However, the 5yo can hang in his races and I am not convinced he has too much in hand from his current rating 77.
Robyn Brisland's Shoot To Kill 3.02/1 is one of two last-time out winners in the field with a comfortable success at Lingfield over 7f. He is likely to track the pace and has been nudged up just 2lbs after his defeat of Dubai Hope, but he's another who has been knocking around off marks in the 70s for a while. He was bought for 28,000 gns from George Scott and he is 1-1 for Brisland.
We usually unveil a blockbuster stat, but this one isn't as Darragh Keenan rides the favourite, and his record for the trainer is 1-31 at just 3%.
I will give a chance to Jewel Maker who last won a race from a 2lb higher mark and showed plenty last time over CD with a rather unlucky run behind State Secretary.
He has been huge prices in his last three starts with Betfair SPs at 26.95, 58.65 and 19.55. He can travel quite strongly and certainly went well through the race at Wolverhampton last time when trying to pick his way through and weave from the back. Waiting for the gaps didn't happen for him and he met some traffic problems late on too. He is a better horse on the all-weather and with a good pace to run at he'll be played late.
Big race verdict
Jewel Maker's wide draw shouldn't matter as he'll be dropped in by Duran Fentiman. Although the rider is on the cold list at the moment without a winner in 59 days, but we are getting a decent price and I'd rather back him at 9/1 than Shoot To Kill, as the selection is certainly weighted to win a race off 72.
Timeform offer up three of their best
Tony McFadden tips three horses on the Kempton card and is firmly with a Godolphin runner as one of his three bets for the day.
Tony Calvin's Saturday thoughts on Cheltenham
Our lead tipster has penned his thoughts on the upcoming meeting at Cheltenham and he offers his betting insight for Saturday's action, plus a recap on his big-price ante-post pick for Friday.
After watching the first race at Southwell yesterday and the cavalry charge in the opener, it was a lesson to never assume anything about a track as the opener resembled the old Fibresand surface, as punters where very much guessing how it would ride much like jockeys. My own takeaway from the meeting is that you need a stayer there, as Viola winning the Oaks Winter Trial over 1m4f is really a 1m6f filly and she got a smart ride to nab our selection Alba Rose who ran well in second.
One thing I can rely on though, is Sea The Stars as a stallion and Sea Speedwell will be another of my bets for the day in the 18:00 at Kempton. She cost a lot of money and shaped very well with a nice introduction over course and distance last time, and it could be a night to throw up a decent horse.
And talking of the great sire STS, one valued characteristic and a much-underplayed one is temperament - especially for the good ones. Sea The Stars was described beautifully by John Gosden once as chilling out having a peck of grass after he had just won the Derby. Nothing fazed him at all. And reading the comments about Constitution Hill from Nicky Henderson that he just eats and sleeps and doesn't turn a hair, he seems to have the same attitude to life. And wouldn't we all like that!
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