A blank day in Wales yesterday for Alan so he is heading north to Scotland, where he is looking at Orient Class as a back-to-lay selection to get him back on the winning trail...
"Importantly he's one of the few in the race to have won on soft ground and he's lightly raced enough to think he has a bit more improvement left in him"
Orient Class 16.50 Ayr looks like a good back-to-lay candidate to rack up another profitable trade.
A course and distance winner, the stable has been amongst the winners in the past week and he has the able assistance of Graham Lee on board. Importantly he's one of the few in the race to have won on soft ground and he's lightly raced enough to think he has a bit more improvement left in him.
He travels well behind the pace and I can see him travelling into the race well and trading below his current back price of 10.09/1 and I'd be looking to lock in profits at around the 6.411/2 mark.
Two that nearly made it
I've put up just the one selection today because I'm a strong believer in that if you're not going to wager on something yourself then you shouldn't put it up as a recommended bet to others. But I very nearly backed Escrick in the 16:30 at Lingfield and Art Obsession in the 15:20 at Ayr.
Escrick has won on the track before and on all of his starts to date has traded 50% of his BSP or shorter in running, but the last time we saw him on the track was October on soft ground over 7f and I'm not keen on him dropping back to 6f on good.
I like the lightly raced Art Obsession, all five starts have seen the horse finish there or thereabouts and trainer David Barron is in good form - the last two he has sent out have both won. But I'm just struggling to back a horse that has been off the track for 234 days so will reluctantly pass this time.
Back Orient Class 16.50 Ayr at 10.09/1 and lay in-running or pre-race at 6.411/2
Alan Thompson 2015 P/L (EW selections are 0/5 pt unless otherwise specified)
Staked: 10 Pts
Returned: 17.91 Pts
Profit 7.91 Pts