Bets of the Day: Shipyard to sail home at Musselburgh

Shipyard to produce at Musselburgh
Shipyard to produce at Musselburgh

Alan drew a blank yesterday with his best bet finishing a very disappointing last of eight. Today, Alan has selections from Musselburgh and Ffos Las as well as suggesting combining them in a little win double...


"Turn the clock back just a year and this horse was the ante post favourite for the Irish Lincolnshire at the Curragh"

https://www.betfair.com/sport/horse-racing/meeting?marketId=924.29790381&exchangeWinMarketId=1.119592622&eventId=27492237&raceTime=1437491700000&dayToSearch=20150721&venueName=Musselburgh

16:15 Musselburgh - Shipyard @ 5/2 Sportsbook

Shipyard is having his first run for the Michael Appleby yard today but has been running well in Ireland for Andy Oliver. He ran third on his last outing in a decent race at the Curragh 25 days ago off a mark 2lb higher than he is today and the race before that he traded at 1.121/8 in running when looking like he would reel in the winner but the photograph revealed that he just failed to get up on the line.

Turn the clock back just a year and this horse was the ante post favourite for the Irish Lincolnshire at the Curragh, he drifted on the day out to third favourite and the market was right as he finished well down the order. The going that day way soft and all his decent efforts have been on good or good to firm. Obviously, he has lost his way a bit since then but if he retains any of that ability and early promise then he should go close for his new yard on the right going in this standard.

I think the 5/2 available on the Sportsbook is more than fair.


15:00 Ffos Las - Hillgrove Angel @ 2.77/4 on the Exchange

Hillgrove Angel won easily last time out in a similar event to this at Windsor, where he was sent off the 1/5 favourite in only a four runner race This is a tougher race than when he won just eight days ago but I expect a similar outcome. He is well in at the weights off the same mark (67) as his Windsor victory and Philip Prince who rode him that day is on board again taking 3lb off him. The three-year-old gelding is a consistent sort in this calibre of racing and rarely runs a bad race.

The Alamo is the top rated in the race off a mark of 69 and probably his biggest threat, but he ran last of eight in his last start also at Windsor, beaten 39 lengths, he was never really in the race and faded away weakly three furlongs from home.

After waiting 13 races to get his first victory I will be backing Hillgrove Angel to make it back-to-back wins at 2.77/4 on the exchange.


Recommended Bets

16:15 Musselburgh - Shipyard @ 5/2 Sportsbook
15:00 Ffos Las - Hillgrove Angel @ 2.77/4 on the Exchange

I am also going to have a half a point double on the Sportsbook with Shipyard @ 5/2 and Hillgrove Angel @ 13/8


Alan Thompson 2015 P&L (EW bets are .5pts unless otherwise specified)

Carried Forward : +7.59 pts

This week:-

Staked: 13.5 pts (including 2.5 pts today)

Returned: 6.8 pts

Overall Profit : +2.89 pts

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