Plenty of action on Wednesday, and Alan Dudman is prepared to take a chance at decent odds on a David O'Meara-trained runner at Newcastle in the evening.....
"Bar Malaspina (who is short enough at 2/1), nothing really is progressive in the line-up. This horse looks on a fair rating of 85 considering his past glories of running in better races from marks nudging the high nineties."
Time to back my reliable chum Sue Smith - and she has two in this 2m6f Handicap Chase. In fact, both the yard's Dartford Warbler and Iskabeg Lane are course and distance winners, but I favour a bet on the latter at around [5.0].
Dartford Warbler has a chance from his mark, but he is an 11-year-old these days and is a bit hit and miss, whereas Iskabeg Lane has only had three runs over the larger obstacles and is a scopey chasing type - typical of the yard.
The selection ran in a 0-125 last time out, and bumped into front runner Kimberlite Candy - who made all to land the money in quite game fashion to fight off potential challengers. He's rated 123, so that was a fair run back in third from my pick, who made an error late on.
Smith has explored the 3m at Hexham previously, so they must feel he'll stay a trip, and there'll be pace here as he has made the running (so has his stablemate).
He won at the track back in December on good to soft ground, a dry night and morning, might just ease conditions perfectly for him today.
Wednesday afternoon's cards are quite tough with small fields and novice events, so we head to Newcastle in search of a winner with David O'Meara's Mujassam.
The horse's previous trainer Roger Varian described him once as "decent on his day", but unfortunately those days are few and far between. O'Meara is now charged with handling a character who clearly has had one or two problems in the past.
Bar Malaspina (who is short enough at 2/1), nothing really is progressive in the line-up. This horse looks on a fair rating of 85 considering his past glories of running in better races from marks nudging the high nineties.
This will be his first try on the Tapeta, and also his first attempt at tonight's trip of 1m. He won over 7f from the front at Salisbury in the past, and he's best controlling and kicking from making the pace - so I'm hopeful on that score with a decent attempt here.
It's a race with plenty of "ifs", but Mujassam is well-treated, and is worth the risk at double-figure odds.
Alan's Bets of the Day - P/L
This week so far: +0.75
Previous week: -6.00