Alan Dudman picks out two win selections for Wednesday's afternoon action and is sticking with two trainers in-form...
"This four-year-old is lightly-raced and completely unexposed at today's trip of 2m. He has course and distance winning form, and he arrives into the race after a solid effort at Newmarket in a slightly better grade than today."
14:10 Ayr - Back Conquer Gold @ 8.07/1
I mentioned at the start of the week that trainer Nicky Richards is in good form at the moment, and I thought his Teddy Tee ran a smashing race on comeback at a big price. Undeterred, I am siding with Richards again in Scotland - this time with his likeable mare Conquer Gold.
She's a half-sister to Go Conquer who impressed recently at Ascot, and she's not too dissimilar with a Grand National down the line - as she's a good jumper from the front who stays well.
With a spell over fences last term (showing useful form), she reverts to hurdles today for her seasonal reappearance. She won at Hexham in 2016 after a break of three months, so we shouldn't be too negative about her in terms of winning first time out.
This mare is lightly-raced over hurdles with only four starts, so we are nowhere near the ceiling of her ability in this sphere with a rating of 120.
She loves soft ground and stays very well, two huge plus points for today. The seven-year-old won a maiden hurdle over 3m at Hexham in the mud, so she'll have no qualms racing over 2m4f around here in testing conditions. As a front-runner too - hopefully she'll utilise her abundant stamina.
I usually get suckered in by backing an unexposed Godolphin type in these autumn/winter races, but I will swerve Mobbhij here for Tom Tate's Waiting For Richie.
The trainer couldn't buy a winner at the start of the Flat season, but his horses have really picked up in the last two months to run consistently well. Since September 2nd, the yard haven't sent out many runners, but they've enjoyed plenty of success with eight winners from 23. Four of those finished second.
With that in mind, Waiting For Richie might still be able to offer a bit more from his current mark.
This four-year-old is lightly-raced and completely unexposed at today's trip of 2m. He has course and distance winning form, and he arrives into the race after a solid effort at Newmarket in a slightly better grade than today.
I am worried about Mobbhij as he is an out-and-out galloper, but the selection is a front-runner, and I like horses that go from the front around here in staying races.
Wednesday's Recommended Bets
Back Conquer Gold 1pt @ 8.07/1 in the 14:10 at Ayr
Back Waiting For Richie 1pt @ 6/1 Sportsbook price in the 15:40 at Newcastle
Alan's Bets of the Day - P/L
This week so far: -5.50pts
Previous week: +3.75pts