Alan Dudman rounds off his tipping week at York, and is hoping to end with a winner on the second day at the Knavesmire...
"On ratings she has plenty to find, but she's clearly a very exciting prospect. She also tackles the new trip of 1m4f today - which should be a plus out of a Dynaformer dam. She could improve for the distance."
Back Aljezeera @ 8/1 Sportsbook in the 16:15 at York
For these big field handicaps, I like backing something with a touch of class, and I am hoping that is the case with the William Haggas-trained Victory Bond.
He'll have to be good here to win from a mark of 107, but he's very lightly-raced for a four-year-old, and I really like the angle of him dropping back down to 1m in this big field. He bolted up in his maiden over today's trip, but he didn't quite see out the 1m2f when last seen - albeit in the Group 2 York Stakes.
His two handicap runs make a strong case to back him today. He wasn't beaten far at the track in July's John Smith's Cup. He was backed in that, but a poor draw didn't help him. Still, from a mark of 102, it was a good effort.
He also has form tied in with Chelsea Lad (who is the favourite here), and those two finished second and third in the Hambleton during York's May meeting.
Victory Bond has more to come as a handicapper, especially as he competed in the Dante last year. He has York form, and a well-run race over 1m could really suit.
The Listed fillies and mares' race over 1m4f has a large batch of three-year-olds taking on their elders, and the long-term project Aljezeera is worth a bet at 8/1 on the Sportsbook.
She looked a proper prospect when winning on debut as a juvenile last term at Doncaster. That came on quick ground, and she displayed a lovely turn of foot in the style of an above-average filly. The race was settled instantly.
She didn't race again as a two-year-old, and her seasonal reappearance came back in May this year. That was in a Listed contest at Newbury over 1m2f, and she might not have handled the soft. I am hoping the ground dries out enough for Thursday.
Aljezeera has been described as big and tall, and very much a horse for the future. Her trainer Luca Cumani is a dab hand with these late-maturing types, so it's no surprise she again has been given time to grow, as she hasn't been seen since May.
I don't have too many worries about backing her fresh after 96 days, as she won on debut last term.
On ratings she has plenty to find, but she's clearly a very exciting prospect. She also tackles the new trip of 1m4f today - which should be a plus out of a Dynaformer dam. She could improve for the distance. Mind you, these Frankels can gallop a bit too.
Thursday's Recommended Bets
Back Victory Bond 0.5pt @ 8/1 Sportsbook in the 15:00 at York
Back Aljezeera 0.5pt @ 8/1 Sportsbook in the 16:15 at York