An unlucky day for Alan yesterday as Third Intention was chinned at 1.30 in-running to finish second. He is hoping for better with Monday's selections at Southwell and Carlisle...
"Cut in the ground suits as they can go a bit too quick for him on decent terrain - but he is attractively handicapped to run well from his mark."
Third Intention's second yesterday - beaten despite trading at 1.3030/100 in-running - continued a very frustrating fortnight for Alan's last two Bets Of The Day stints. Third Intention goes in the club with recent runner-up selections Black Art - who was beaten at 1.271/4, Pearl Spectre 1.101/10, Kapstadt 1.261/4 and Kenny The Captain 1.011/100. Hopefully those near-misses can be turned around, and we start off at Southwell for Monday.
This 1m3f Maiden is a weak race, with two of the contenders officially rated 68 and 70. So it's not a worldy standard by any means.
The other factor is handling the unique surface, and there's a fair bit of hope that Swiss Vinnare might improve for his first run on the Fibresand.
He steps up in trip today, which is another plus given he has been outpaced in a pair of 1m races at Chelmsford - and he stayed on well on debut.
Nobody wanted this horse as a foal, as he didn't sell for just £580, but he has a reasonable pedigree and this is a poor contest. The added bonus of Nicola Currie claiming 7lb is also good news.
15:10 Carlisle - Back Dartford Warbler @ 6.05/1
I was close to putting another two selections in from Southwell, but Sue Smith's Dartford Warbler is very well handicapped over fences, and his price of around 6.05/1 is more than fair.
He hasn't won for a while - hence the sliding mark, but he battled last time at Uttoxeter over 3m to finish a good second behind Cobolobo. That winner is probably going to improve in better races, so there was nothing wrong with Dartford Warbler's effort there.
Last year he was running off a mark in the low 120s - today he is pitched into this race from a figure of 102.
Most of his career he has raced over today's trip of 2m4f, so the drop back in distance from Uttoxeter for this stiff finish shouldn't be a problem. He has form at Carlisle too - with a couple of wins at the track over hurdles in his younger days.
Cut in the ground suits as they can go a bit too quick for him on decent terrain - but he is atttractively handicapped to run well from his mark.
Monday's Recommended Bets
Back Swiss Vinnare 0.5pt @ 5/1 Sportsbook price in the 12:40 Southwell
Back Dartford Warbler 0.5pt @ 6.25/1 in the 15:10 at Carlisle
Alan's Bets of the Day - P/L
This week so far: -3.00pts
Previous week: +3.75pts