Another frustrating afternoon for Alan Dudman yesterday with two seconds - which makes five seconds this week. On to Newcastle and Kempton for Wednesday, with two picks at decent odds....
"That was the first piece of ability from Forever Yours, and I am a big fan of his trainer Dean Ivory - who readied Lancelot Du Lac to win after a break during my last tipping stint."
Trainer Nicky Richards has enjoyed a decent February from just a handful of runners. He sent out a bumper winner on Tuesday, to make it four winners from just eight, and one of those was Baywing at a Betfair SP of 47.15 in Wetherby's Towton.
Whilst I haven't got a plan for such a big price, the trainer's On A Promise at 13/2 has got to be of interest going handicapping for the first time in Newcastle's 15:50.
This is not a great race. The 7/4 favourite Chakisto scored last time, but he has been beaten this season at Ludlow from a mark of 87. His overall record of two wins from 23 over hurdles tempers the enthusiasm at that price. Whilst the likely second favourite Pierre Lark was beaten nine lengths at Ayr - although he can improve.
But so can On A Promise, who has a lowly mark of 98. His three efforts to date were all nondescript. Sent off 33/1, 50/1 and 100/1, he's not shown an awful lot, and his jumping at Kelso wasn't particularly impressive early on
However, he has a good pedigree and the yard are hitting the target. This grey will not have to be anything special to land this.
17:50 Kempton - Ivory's runner to go well on handicap debut
Two runners look appealing in this race. Firstly Indian Affair at 6/1, who is likely to run to a figure and is a consistent customer. He can go close following two decent efforts and I have no worries about him at 7f today.
However, at a much bigger price is Forever Yours - who runs for the first time in 155 days. He goes in a handicap for the first time from a mark of 65 - and he was double-figure odds on Tuesday evening.
At first glance on what he has achieved, he might not be chucked in from that rating. But on closer inspection, his Yarmouth performance during the turf season was a reasonable little race. The winner (Roman Holiday) has subsequently scored again with a nice turn of foot, and could be a sprinter of potential. Whilst the second is now rated 78 and has collected a couple of runner-up positions since.
That was the first piece of ability from Forever Yours, and I am a big fan of his trainer Dean Ivory - who readied Lancelot Du Lac to win after a break during my last tipping stint.
He has a good pedigree, in fact his mother won the Queen Mary a decade ago, whilst his half-brother Fort Del Oro is a 103-rated sprinter in Ireland. We are backing the potential here; and he is worth more than cursory glance at 13.012/1.
Wednesday's Recommended Bets
Back On A Promise 1pt @ 13/2 Sportsbook price in the 15:50 at Newcastle
Back Forever Yours 1pt @ 13.012/1 in the 17:50 at Kempton
Alan's Bets of the Day - P/L
This week so far: -0.5pts
Previous week: -2.5pts