Bets Of The Day: Filly can back up Perth win with another at Chepstow

Chepstow
Alan's second selection of the afternoon lines up at Chepstow

Alan Dudman had a winner and a third yesterday with Soldier's Minute and the eyecatcher Thumur. His two bets for Tuesday run at Catterick and Chepstow...

"From a low weight against some very exposed older horses in the main, I'd like to see a repeat of the positive tactics that worked so well last time, as I like forward pressers at Chepstow."

Back Guardia Top @ 4.03/1 in the 16:00 at Chepstow

Make some profit with Easterby's Jewel

15:10 Catterick - Back Jewel Maker @ 10.09/1

Yesterday's selections were both on the all-weather, but it's a return to deep ground on Tuesday for the action at Catterick. At the time of writing the going was described as heavy, and that shouldn't appear to be a problem for Tim Easterby's Jewel Maker.

He's got a somewhat chequered profile in a curious career thus far. He started out with Dermot Weld in the Moyglare silks but struggled in handicap company following his maiden success at Cork, running over a variety of trips from 6f to 1m4f.

Tim Easterby 1280 .jpg

Since the switch to Easterby's Yorkshire yard, his mark has dropped but he has put together two solid efforts over 5f recently, and he looks a little overpriced at around the 10.09/1 mark.

Last time he ran over 5f at Musselburgh, but I liked his previous effort in heavy conditions at Redcar over the minimum trip. He stayed on in that race to suggest the extra furlong for Tuesday's contest will suit him.

At one stage he was bred to be a world-beater, and whilst his career hasn't quite gone according to plan, he's off a decent mark to be a player here.

Guardia can come out on top for Hawke

16:00 Chepstow - Back Guardia Top @ 4.03/1

Finding a second bet on the day was tough. Very tough.

I've ended up with Nigel Hawke's Guardia Top - who runs in the 16:00 at Chepstow, and I give the filly a chance to back up her victory in a maiden hurdle last time at Perth.

She was rated 97 for that, and the assessor has kept her on the same mark for the switch back into a handicap. That tells us that the success in Scotland wasn't that highly regarded!

The switch to front-running tactics worked well for her on that occasion as she had been far too keen against a stronger stayer previously at Newton Abbot. She steps up in distance for today, and as long as she settles again with the lead, I give her a chance.

From a low weight against some very exposed older horses in the main, I'd like to see a repeat of the positive tactics that worked so well last time, as I like forward pressers at Chepstow.

*Click here for exclusive news and betting previews for Tuesday's racing


Alan Dudman's P&L

2019 Overall: -2.56

This week so far....

Staked: 5.00
Returned: 4.00

2018: +44.91
2017: +5.49
2016: +16.38

*All bets to a 0.5pt stake unless stated otherwise

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