Alan Dudman rounds off his tipping stint with a pair of bets at Carlisle and Southwell...
"He has raced on good to soft both times, so he might just improve on the better ground at Carlisle. But it's a nice staying pedigree (especially on the dam side), and with those outings already under his belt, he can put that experience to good use."
A case could be made for most in this eight runner Novices' Handicap Chase. Three of the contenders will hold a fitness edge, but it's worth siding with Red Danaher here at decent odds of around 9.08/1.
His brief career can hardly be described as sparkling. He scored as a novice over hurdles last term, but completely bombed out in his two subsequent runs. He begins life over fences today from a mark of 115 and this could be a starting point for better over the larger obstacles.
His trainer Sue Smith hasn't had a runner for a week, but her horses were going fairly well at the start of the month. I'm a fan of the yard, as I like these proper old-fashioned chasers that seem to fight and battle in a race - take Dartford Warbler this season.
Red Danaher's efforts would leave a slight question mark over his stamina - but on pedigree he should be fine, as there are a pair of three mile winners and a Grand National victor down the family line.
17:30 Carlisle - Back Gully's Edge
This looks a reasonable bumper not without interest. I like Gully's Edge, but the market might prefer Charlie Longsdon's Monbeg Charmer - who was a 12 length point winner subsequently sold for quite a lot of money at the Cheltenham sales.
Gully's Edge however has already appeared in two of these events, and should have had a victory next to his dance card already. And with the name, us cricketers all know that gully is the worst position EVER to field, with all those nasty mis-timed slashes.
His inexperience cost him in two Kelso bumpers, having been matched at 1.674/6 and 1.261/4. There's an obvious angle to highlight him as a back-to-lay, but I wouldn't have thought this son of Kayf Tara will be any bigger than 5/2.
He has raced on good to soft both times, so he might just improve on the better ground at Carlisle. But it's a nice staying pedigree (especially on the dam side), and with those outings already under his belt, he can put that experience to good use.
Thursday's Recommended Bets
Back Red Danaher @ 8/1 Sportsbook price in the 14:00 at Southwell
Back Gully's Edge @ 2.9015/8 in the 17:30 at Carlisle
Weekly P /L (one point each bet excluding advised in-running trades)
Last week total: + 2.95
This week total: +7.50
Running total: +24.45