Alan Dudman is on the hunt for his first winner of the week and he heads to Salisbury on Sunday with a couple of bets at decent prices...
"She made her recent comeback in a handicap at Leicester, but she was rusty and blew the start. She shaped liked she was in need of the run too; in a race where they split into two groups early. I am not sure she was in love with the soft ground either that day."
Back Phalaborwa @ 10/1 Sportsbook price in the 16:45 at Salisbury
I had a crack at big prices in two handicaps at York yesterday and fell short. Sunday's racing doesn't quite throw up the same numbers in terms of field sizes, and bets were hard to find.
For that reason, I am going to do something I haven't done for a while in this column - back a newcomer.
Shabaaby is bred to be quick and when owner Hamdan Al Maktoum changed part of his buying policy a few years ago in a push towards more speedier and precocious types, then this would fit that sort of profile.
A price tag means nothing of course; considering the Godolphin beast that cost 1.6 million guineas the other day got turned over by a near 200/1 shot on the BSP, but this horse cost plenty.
He is related to Aetna who scored on debut, whilst the dam (who is by Mind Games) was second on her debut run and scored next time.He looks a sharp type on paper.
Shabaaby's trainer Owen Burrows has only sent out six juveniles this term; one of which has scored. The price of 7/1 compensates for the risk factor.
I am expecting better from Phalaborwa today in the fillies' handicap and her price of 10/1 underrates her potential.
From both of her juvenile runs last term, she looks an interesting candidate. She was backed on her debut at Newmarket but blew the start and ran very green. However, on her next outing she won a maiden from the front at Kempton. Many of Ed Vaughan's two-year-olds come on for the run - and she certainly did with a more clued-up effort.
At that stage she held a Group 2 Rockfel entry - but we never saw her again.
She made her recent comeback in a handicap at Leicester, but she was rusty and blew the start. Phalaborwa shaped liked she was in need of the run too, in a race where they split into two groups early. I am not sure she was in love with the soft ground either that day.
Switching to a fast surface might bring out the best in her, and she is surely better than that Leicester effort.
Not many can boast a pedigree such as her one in this race - being a relation to Golden Horn and Rebecca Sharp. This is a weaker affair than her last run and she has been dropped a further 2lb.
Sunday's Recommended Bets
Back Shabaaby 0.5pt @ 7/1 Sportsbook price in the 16:15 at Salisbury
Back Phalaborwa 0.5pt @ 10/1 Sportsbook price in the 16:45 at Salisbury