Alan Dudman kicked off his week with advised 11/2 winner Brother Tiger yesterday. He heads to Newmarket on 2,000 Guineas day, and has two big prices for the afternoon's action...
"With two runs over 7f, and well clear of the third in the Greenham, I don't want to write him off as a miler just yet. He travels like a world-beater, and the fact the hood comes out and trainer Saeed Bin Suroor is going for the race means he is worth a punt."
Back Dream Castle @ 18.50 in the 15:35 at Newmarket
14:20 Newmarket - Go for the glamour with a big price at HQ
One of the great success stories from last term was the Ron Harris sprinter Just Glamorous. If you like quick horses - this fella is rapid. Indeed, Harris described him simply as possessing "blitzing pace".
He started last year from a rating of 69, and from small acorns (or fast ones) he competed on Arc day in the Prix de l'Abbaye. I backed him for his final start, and for whatever reason he blew out behind Marsha. However, he slammed Marsha by three lengths at Chantilly the start before. On the clock he was a tick over 56 seconds and broke the track record there. He had very good sprinters off the bridle two furlongs in.
That performance earned him a Timeform rating of 124.
There was also the small matter of a ten length demolition job in a handicap at Sandown last term, and I am genuinely excited about watching this horse. Much like I was in seeing Overdose for the first time. Remember him?
At 26.025/1 he is too big to ignore.
15:35 Newmarket - Go for Classic glory with Godolphin
The 2,000 Guineas looks a race with plenty of depth this year, and with the upturn in Godolphin's fortunes lately (and with an unusually fast start to a campaign), I just cannot ignore the ultra-tempting price of 18.50 on Dream Castle. Despite talk of him being a potential top-notch sprinter.
What his trip will be we don't know yet, as he's had just two starts. I cannot get away from how well he travelled in the Greenham two weeks ago - it is why I want to risk him here and the price represents the risk. He was beaten by "fellow Blue" in the shape of Barney Roy at Newbury - and he looks the superior stayer on that evidence, but Dream Castle was all over him two furlongs out and moved with a lot of class.
It was the same on his debut at Doncaster, and he quickened up in brilliant fashion to easily win by three-and-a-half lengths. He was free early in that, pulled, changed his legs and held his head high. Yes he is a Frankel, and he has plenty of the volatile side of the superstar.
But with two runs over 7f, and well clear of the third in the Greenham, I don't want to write him off as a miler just yet. He travels like a world-beater, and the fact the hood comes out and trainer Saeed Bin Suroor is going for the race means he is worth a punt. I anticipate a different sort of ride for him to get cover, which hopefully will put to use his tremendous acceleration.
Saturday's Recommended Bets
Back Just Glamorous 0.5pt @ 26.025/1 in the 14:20 at Newmarket
Back Dream Castle 0.5pt @ 18.50 in the 15:35 at Newmarket
Alan's Bets of the Day - P/L
This week so far: +2.25pts
Previous week: +8.35pts