Alan Thompson has two selections from Fontwell, the only remaining UK jump card today...
"He did the best of his work late on in that contest, shaping as if this further rise in distance today will be in his favour"
Heavy going wont stop Et Apres Thou at Fontwell
Philip Hobbs has a decent strike rate at Fontwell and sends his only runner of the day there for the two mile six furlong handicap hurdle. Last time out Et Apres Thou finished a running on fifth of 16 over three furlongs shorter than today's trip on handicap debut at Taunton. He did the best of his work late on in that contest, shaping as if this further rise in distance today will be in his favour. Heavy ground there was no problem and I don't expect it to hinder him today either, this is his seventh career start and he is yet to get his head in front where it matters but this looks a good opportunity today.
The danger is Jamessaintpatrick for Amy Murphy, he displayed a much improved performance to beat 17 rivals on handicap debut at Warwick (heavy) in December. He has always travelled well in his races, so much so that in five of his six starts to date he has traded at least 50% of his Betfair Starting Price (BSP) but he usually then fades away. However, his last start was his first on heavy and maybe that is the secret to his success. They are both a similar price in the market and I think one of them wins but I just fancy Philip Hobbs charge to get the better of it today.
Shintori can give the favourite plenty to think about
Richard Hobson's six-year-old grey Echo Watt certainly couldn't have been more impressive on his chasing debut when winning by an eased down 22 lengths at Uttoxeter (heavy) earlier this month and is undoubtedly a worthy favourite. That was the second win of his career after winning at Ffos Las bumper back in 2017. But I am not sure I would want to be getting stuck into him at the currently quoted 11/10 with a 12lb hike in the weights for that win and I think I would rather find one to beat him.
Shintori is certainly a quirky character but catch him on a going day and he can be hard to pass. He always travels well and despite fading away to finish fourth last time out at Plumpton, he is only 3lbs higher than when he won at the same venue in November. At the prices I want to give him a chance of causing the short priced favourite some problems, for in-running punters there is every chance you will be able to use back-to-lay strategies (18 of Shintori's races he has reached 50% of his BSP in running) and with Nick Scholfield in the plate he may just decide he wants to go and win today.
2020 (prior to this week) : -5pts
This week so far...
Staked: 3 pts
Returned: 0.00 pts
2020 P&L -8.00pts
2019 P&L +0.31pts
2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts