Bets Of The Day: Milton Road can spring a surprise at big odds

Newcastle all-weather racing
Alan Dudman has picked out two bets to back on the all-weather

Alan Dudman returns to the tipping chair on Friday, and he has picked out a big price runner in the Newcastle finale to follow...

"He drops down to 6f tonight and he's a horse that has travelled well in the past at Wolverhampton and Musselburgh - both times in better races than today's, and also higher marks."

Back Milton Road Win @ 25.024/1 and Place @ BSP in the 19:45 at Newcastle

Walker's Silver to enjoy the stiffer test in north east

18:45 Newcastle - Back Dark Silver @ 3.211/5

There are two good jumps' cards today at Doncaster and Newbury, but as regular readers will know by now, I am quite a fan of Newcastle and its stiff finish, and that's where we head for bet one.

On the face of it, Ed Walker's Dark Silver looks a beatable horse and a frustrating one at that. His record of 0-10 has a sorry look about it.

However, I like to be positive. Well, sometimes anyway. This 3yo found Lingfield's 6f a little too much of a speed test last time out, and the same comments were applicable with his start before at Wolverhampton.

In that, he was drawn poorly, missed the break and got caught in a poor position. Everything that could go wrong went wrong, so it was some effort to pick up and finish second eventually (admittedly well beaten). That was his first run since being gelded and from a break, so there could still be some improvement in him.

I like his draw as he can tack across to the near side, and the stiff finish at Newcastle could really suit him.

All roads lead to bet on Bastiman's Milton

19:45 Newcastle - Back Milton Road @ 26.025/1

I am expecting a pretty decent price on Rebecca Bastiman's Milton Road, and in this basement grade, he looks the sort of horse that could be worth taking a punt on.

It's a bit of a shocker of a race at 0-50 level, and that's why I am not put off by the odds, as this could be anyone's.

Firstly, this horse is racing from a career-low mark of 49, and his two runs back in January following a break were both underwhelming.

However, his latest effort wasn't without hope. It was over Newcastle's 7f and he was drawn over the far side which is never ideal. It was also a messy start to the race with split groups, but he travelled well enough before not really staying the trip.

He drops down to 6f tonight and he's a horse that has travelled well in the past at Wolverhampton and Musselburgh - both times in better races than today's, and also higher marks.

Rated 72 in 2018, it's about time to cash in on his rating.

*Click here for the latest news and betting previews ahead of the Cheltenham festival

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Alan Dudman's P&L

2020 Overall: +6.53

This week:
Staked: 0.0
Returned: 0.0

2019: +3.25
2018: +44.91
2017: +5.49
2016: +16.38

*All bets to a 0.5pt stake unless stated otherwise

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