Bets Of The Day: Hobson the choice for a winner at Carlisle
A cracking card awaits on Sunday at Carlisle, and Alan Dudman has two win selections for the afternoon....
"Good ground really suits him and he's a front-runner that jumps very well when he's in a rhythm up top."
Morning looks a grand bet for chase debut
13:30 Carlisle - Back Grand Morning @ [5.0]
I didn't have much luck with a JP McManus-owned runner yesterday, as Geordie Des Champs jumped poorly at Ascot. I am hoping for better with a bet in the "green and gold" on Sunday - and we'll take Grand Morning at around 5/1.
He makes his chase debut in this novices' handicap, and fencing will be very much his game judged on his physique and style of winning.
Despite being described as immature last term, he won three times over hurdles and looks a really interesting prospect for the Lucinda Russell team.
The six-year-old starts off from a mark of 127 and will be the type to stay 3m very well, so there will be no problems with today's intermediate trip of 2m4f, as he won over further last term.
His form has all been in very testing ground, so it's the factor to keep an open-mind about.
Valadom handicapped to make his mark over fences
14:40 Carlisle - Back Valadom @ [10.0]
There's something about a bold-jumping grey. One of my favourites was the extravagant Morceli when I first got into racing, but Richard Hobson's Valadom can put himself into my good books with a decent display on Sunday.
It's a tremendous card at Carlisle with some decent-sized fields. It's a meeting I am looking forward to.
Valadom has been given a chance by the handicapper from 128, and he's been dropped 6lb from his last run over fences in the summer at Perth.
This represents a slight ease in grade and he's a useful horse on his day. Good ground really suits him and he's a front-runner that jumps very well when he's in a rhythm up top.
I like Cooking Fat as a horse, and he's a strong traveller who could be worth a back-to-lay. However, Valadom represents my idea of a decent bet with conditions to suit at the prices.
Alan's Bets of the Day - P/L
This week so far: -2.00
Previous week: +0.75
Back Grand Morning 0.5pt @ [5.0] in the 13:30 at Carlisle
Back Valadom 0.5pt @ [9.0] in the 14:40 at Carlisle