Haydock Sprint Cup Antepost Tips: Dreaming of a 12/1 winner

Race finish action
The Sprint Cup at Haydock is Saturday's big race

The Sprint Cup at Haydock is the feature race this weekend and our resident tipster Tony Calvn has a rare pair of midweek antepost bets for the contest...

"His earlier strong-finishing head second to Blue Point in the Diamond Jubilee, well clear of the third, clearly makes him a strong form contender here, and he has plenty in his favour, besides."

Back Dream Of Dreams at 12/1 each way, Betfair Sportsbook, in Haydock Sprint Cup on Saturday

Haydock has enjoyed about as much luck with the weather for their Sprint Cup meeting in recent years than you suspect Boris would have had with a Jeremy Kyle lie-detector and paternity test - sorry to single out our beloved leader from our invertebrate offering in parliament, but you get the gist - but the forecast for Newton-Le-Willows, if not Westminster, doesn't look that bad for Saturday.

Sure, rain seems to be lingering for most of the week, but nothing as biblical is predicted as has been the case for recent renewals.

I have attended most of the recent runnings of the race, and heavy didn't do it justice for a few of those.

But I think you still have to proceed on the basis of reasonably testing ground - it is currently good to soft - and that could be an issue for those supporting the market-leaders.

Market leaders readily opposed

Advertise is probably the right favourite on consistency grounds alone after bagging Group 1s at Ascot and Deauville - though of course he was blown away by Ten Sovereigns in the July Cup - and, while he is unproven on anything worse than good to soft, those were the underfoot conditions when he won the Commonwealth Cup.

Ten Sovereigns was clearly a cut-above when dismissing him by 2¾ lengths at Newmarket and he is the clear form choice on that success, but the Ballydoyle colt's two stand-out efforts, and Group 1 victories, have come on quick ground and he doesn't look like getting that on Saturday.

And he has questions to answer after his Nunthorpe run last time. Like his Group 1-winning stablemate Fairyland, he will appreciate the return to 6f but you have to be a touch concerned by the way neither travelled into the race at any stage, in particular the filly, who was beaten after a furlong.

So it's a no from me as regards Ten Sovereigns and my brief punting love affair with Fairyland ended on the Knavesmire, too.

Sorry, luv.

Dream looks solid at a double-figure price

The bolter in the sprinting pack is Khaadem, who was simply ridiculously impressive when winning the Stewards' Cup by daylight off a mark of 107 in a quick time.

You clearly have to greatly respect his chances, especially since that Goodwood win puts him on the coat-tails of the favourites, form-wise - he is just 6lb shy of Ten Sovereigns, and 3lb short of Advertise and Dream Of Dreams - and he makes the most appeal of those towards the top of the market at around 5/1.

Dream Of Dreams blew out over a speedy 6f on fast ground in the July Cup but, forgive him that run - and you can, pretty easily, especially as he has disappointed on that course before - and he looks the best bet in the race at 12/1, each way, with the Betfair Sportsbook.

Haydock stand 956.jpg

I rarely get involved with midweek ante-post betting but he is a rare exception, and in fact he may not be my only play in the race. But I am still pondering the saver angle.

Anyway, back to Dream Of Dreams, who looks to have a lot going for him for a 12s poke.

His earlier strong-finishing head second to Blue Point in the Diamond Jubilee, well clear of the third, clearly makes him a strong form contender here, and he has plenty in his favour, besides.

His previous defeat of subsequent Group 2 scorer Glorious Journey and last year's winner The Tin Man at Windsor reads very well too, and he is also one-from-one at the track, albeit that win came in a novice here as a 2yo.

Crucially, he is equally at home on soft as well as fast ground (his Ascot second came on good to firm), as he has won, and recorded a couple of other good efforts, in testing conditions. So the weather can do what it likes for him.

He looks very solid, that Newmarket run last time notwithstanding.

A big price Exchange runner

There are some positive noises coming out James Fanshawe's stable as regards The Tin Man - the trainer thinks he could just be coming right physically after a modest campaign to date - but it does take a leap of faith to side with him, even at a track at which he excels (he also finished placed in this race in 2017 and 2016, as well as winning last year).

Clear-cut recent Chester winner Major Jumbo, Commonwealth Cup third Hello Youmzain and Brando have place possibilities too, but I kept looking at the claims of Waldfpad and thought he looked a very big price at 20/121.0 on the exchange.

I know you can't take the form literally, given the runner-up's obvious improvement at Goodwood, but he really did take care of Khaadem very comfortably on good to soft ground at Newbury in July. And he was carrying a 3lb penalty there, too.

He failed to follow up when favourite in a Group 2 at Baden-Baden nine days ago, and on the face of it a 1½-length second to Ed Walker's 106-rated Royal Intervention gives him mountain to find here.

But, looking at the video, he wasn't ideally positioned off the pace there, and nothing was finishing better than him in the final furlong.

A testing 6f will suit him - connections were talking about the 7f Hungerford Stakes after his Newbury win, and he has won over 1m - and I am inclined to believe he has far stronger claims than his current price suggests. A bit of Brexit bias at work, methinks.

The issue is whether to play him at 16/1 each way with the Sportsbook, or win-only on the exchange at four points bigger - I know this is a quick turnaround for him but I presume he is an intended runner, having been left in the race on Monday afternoon, so the relative exchange weakness doesn't concern me too much - and I think the latter route is the way to go.

So, it's a rare midweek, ante-post, double-play for me.

Who would have believed that? Strange days indeed.

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