Draws win greyhound races but just how important is the make-up of a race. Darrell Williams continues his 'how to win' guide looking at the importance of the draw plus selections to get the week off to the best possible start...
"The switch to the striped jacket makes TV Trophy heroine Goldies Hotspur a more appealing proposition. Back her to win but also save on a forecast with the favourite"
Getting a clear run is key to winning
The racecard is crammed full of winner finding information but how best to dissect the data? As touched upon last time if you can find a greyhound that looks guaranteed to get a clear run you're well on your way to finding the winner.
But what to look for?
The make-up of a race is key - that's the distribution of railers, middles (M - on the card) and wides (W). Ideally, you're looking for an unequal balance: one railer racing against five middles/wides or the lone 'wide' dog facing a quintet of railing rivals giving the well-drawn dog the best possible chance of enjoying an uninterrupted free run. While those 'unbalanced' scenarios don't come up too often imaging how a race will be run remains a constant requirement.
Take a consistently fast starting railer in trap one drawn inside a trap two dog who is not only usually slowly away - or at least has inferior split times - but often runs from trap three and whose card is littered with 'middle' comments. An ideal scenario to ensure the dog in trap one should get to the first bend ahead of its rival.
Power could surprise Shadow at Notts
Newinn Shadow just failed to get clear at Nottingham last week and will be fancied to return to winning ways tonight (21:07) especially as the slightly longer 500m trip should give him more time to make his move. However, Power Local is an intriguing rival for Newcastle handler Debbie Calvert on the back of some useful trials, more so given his draw inside middle operator Lowgate Lucius and he may offer a value alternative.
Tyrur Hugo has been a shade disappointing the last two Mondays and might be worth taking on again at what appear crammed odds in the first heat of the same competition (20:51).In-form Night Bomber and particularly a resurgent Lowgate Malfoy - who toppled Newinn Shadow last week - are both more than capable of springing the surprise.
Goldie could take to the striped jacket in Golden Jacket showdown
It's all eyes on Crayford's Golden Jacket final tomorrow evening with Shotgun Bullet looking set to take the beating after clearly taking to the Kent circuit like a duck to water. If he gets loose again he will prove hard to stop but the switch to the striped jacket makes TV Trophy heroine Goldies Hotspur a more appealing proposition. Back her to win but also save on a forecast with the favourite. You can watch the race live on the Betfair stream.