US Open 2015: Is Open Championship form the key to cracking Chambers Bay code?

Can Henrik Stenson land his first major?

This year's US Open is being played on a course that resembles a classic links track so Joe Dyer has compiled a chart of the leading Open Championship performers to aid your hunt for the winner...


"An exposed course sat on the banks of the Puget Sound in Washington State, the wind looks the primary defence of this wide open and very long track, though it really wouldn't be a US Open without thick and lustrous rough."

The US Open is always a grind, but it's due to be a bit of a different kind of grind this time round.

As Paul Krishnamurty says in this article the characteristics of host course Chambers Bay suggest we should be looking at form from The Open Championship rather than US Open when trying to pick a winner at the second major of the year.

An exposed course sat on the banks of the Puget Sound in Washington State, the wind looks the primary defence of this wide open and very long track, though it really wouldn't be a US Open without thick and lustrous rough.

To offer you a route in to the 2015 US Open, which takes between June 18-21, we have examined the leading players' records at The Open Championship. Listed below are the top 20 players who will line up at the 2015 US Open, ordered by their average score at The Open.

The qualifying criteria to make the list was a minimum of three appearances in The Open, and that means we do not have figures for players such as Jordan Spieth and Patrick Reed who figure prominently in the betting.

Players who have fallen off the bottom of the list include Justin Rose, Lee Westwood, Jason Day and Matt Kuchar among others.

Players with notable Open records but yet to qualify for the US Open include Padraig Harrington and Nick Watney.


Tiger Woods
US Open odds: 60.059/1
Open appearances: 17
Best finish: Won (2000, 2005, 2006)
Average score: 70.53
Verdict:
This is not the same Tiger who previously dominated the sport as demonstrated by a handful of cataclysmic rounds this year. Seemingly un-backable at his current price.

Rickie Fowler
US Open odds: 27.026/1
Open appearances: 5
Best finish: 2nd (2014)
Average score: 70.78
Verdict:
Rickie answered his fellow pro critics in grand fashion with his Players Championship win and has the game to go very close. Can perform at majors, and will relish any bad weather.

Ernie Els
US Open odds: 190.0189/1
Open appearances: 19
Best finish: Won
Average score: 70.97
Verdict:
Undoubtedly a fading force, though that is reflected in chunky odds, and he has won this major before of course. The Big Easy may be best played in place markets.

Dustin Johnson
US Open odds: 21.020/1
Open appearances: 6
Best finish: 2nd
Average score: 71.27
Verdict:
Has enjoyed a phenomenal return to Tour action and appears to have the game for this, especially if playing to Open Championship conditions. Will need to bring his best short game to win as that is his one real weakness.

Keegan Bradley
US Open odds: 110.0109/1
Open appearances: 3
Best finish: 15th
Average score: 71.33
Verdict:
Long and straight driver, whose two Open top 20s show he can handle links conditions. Like DJ he needs a good week on the greens to contend.

Rory McIlroy
US Open odds: 7.413/2
Open appearances: 7
Best finish: Won (2014)
Average score: 71.42
Verdict:
The world's finest golfer could turn out to be an exceptional price, but any wind would be a major worry as he has literally been blown off the leaderboard a few times - see the 2010 Open at St Andrews and the 2015 Irish Open.

Shane Lowry
US Open odds: 200.0199/1
Open appearances: 3
Best finish: 9th
Average score: 71.5
Verdict:
It's a small sample but Lowry likes the seaside game and is a high-class golfer waiting to make his impact in a big one. A long-shot to consider, or one to be played in Top 10/20 markets.

Darren Clarke
US Open odds: 1000.0
Open appearances: 18
Best finish: Won (2011)
Average score: 71.55
Verdict:
Next year's Ryder Cup captain has made a few cuts this year but his odds tell the story.

Adam Scott
US Open odds: 36.035/1
Open appearances: 15
Best finish: 2nd
Average score: 71.6
Verdict:
2015 has not gone according to plan for Scott, who simply cannot get his short putter to work. His woes in that department are reflected in a bunch of indifferent results and it's very hard to trust him at the moment.

Sergio Garcia
US Open odds: 36.035/1
Open appearances: 18
Best finish: 2nd
Average score: 71.66
Verdict:
A links master who should have won The Open, Garcia also has a string of high finishes in major championships. The Spaniard has enjoyed a consistent season, making every cut on the PGA Tour, and finishing second twice.

Gary Woodland
US Open odds: 150.0149/1
Open appearances: 3
Best finish: 30th
Average score: 71.67
Verdict:
Perhaps the first anomaly on the list, Woodland has played three Opens finishing between 30th and 40th in each one. The long-hitting American is enjoying a very solid season on the PGA Tour, however.

Hunter Mahan
US Open odds: 100.099/1
Open appearances: 10
Best finish: 6th
Average score: 71.76
Verdict:
This six-time PGA Tour winner has put up top 10s in every major, including two at The Open, and though results haven't been particularly special this year he is the type to pop up in the big events.

Marc Leishman
US Open odds: 200.0199/1
Open appearances: 4
Best finish: 5th
Average score: 71.83
Verdict:
The Australian golfer makes the list due to his fifth place finish last year. Form not hugely encouraging in 2015, but can handle windy conditions.

Louis Oosthuizen
US Open odds: 95.094/1
Open appearances: 7
Best finish: Won (2010)
Average score: 71.86
Verdict:
Injuries are a big concern with the 2010 Open champ who pulled out of the AT&T Byron Nelson in late May and hasn't been seen since.

Jim Furyk
US Open odds: 44.043/1
Open appearances: 19
Best finish: 4th
Average score: 71.92
Verdict:
Not hard to see this grizzy old campaigner figuring prominently even considering his lack of length off the tee. Has finished top five or better five times in The Open, and six times in the US Open including a win in 2003.

George Coetzee
US Open odds: 440.0439/1
Open appearances: 4
Best finish: 15th
Average score: 71.93
Verdict:
Up-and-coming South African is a two-time winner on the European Tour this year but in significantly lower class events than this. Two Open top 20s offer a glimmer of hope, however.

Francesco Molinari
US Open odds: 120.0119/1
Open appearances: 7
Best finish: 9th
Average score: 71.95
Verdict:
Straight-hitting Italian finished ninth in the 2013 Open at Muirfield, with top 20s at Turnberry and Royal Liverpool. May be best played in place markets

Graeme McDowell
US Open odds: 110.0109/1
Open appearances: 11
Best finish: 5th
Average score: 71.97
Verdict:
The 2010 US Open winner has been out of form for much of the year which is a shame as he would definitely come into calculations for this major with his straight driving and sweet short game.

Henrik Stenson
US Open odds: 32.031/1
Open appearances: 10
Best finish: 2nd
Average score: 72.03
Verdict:
Prominent in the betting after a blistering start to the season, the 2013 FedEx Cup winner has learnt to love the Open in recent years with two thirds and one runner-up spot since 2008. Both stats and form say Stenson can put up a bold show at Chambers Bay.

Phil Mickelson
US Open odds: 29.028/1
Open appearances: 18
Best finish: Won (2013)
Average score: 72.05
Verdict:
Big Phil may not be the relentlessly competitive figure of old but he tends to contend at the biggest events - he has finished runner-up in the last two majors. The 2013 Open winner is hard to leave out of calculations.

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