With a fortnight until the US Open, the betting markets are hotting up as punters consider the challenge at Chambers Bay. Paul Krishnamurty has done his homework and reckons the following trio are well-suited and worth backing now...
"Sergio is usually seen to best effect on links, shaping shots through the wind, and has the short game imagination to cope with this challenge. He's also got a decent record in the US Open, and rarely starts much bigger than 40.039/1 for any major."
Back Rickie Fowler @ 25.024/1
There are two factors liable to affect the US Open betting over the next fortnight. First, form in the events preceding the US Open, this week's Memorial Tournament, followed by the St Jude Classic. Second, a developing recognition among punters about what it will take to win, and therefore which players are best suited.
Fowler scores highly on both counts. His record in the Memorial is mixed, finishing second on debut but failing to make the top-20 since. That could be a little misleading though. He was bang in contention in 2012 before a catastrophic final round 84, and was still working on swing changes when missing last year's cut.
Since then, he's been the best overall performer in last year's majors and won the prestigious 'Fifth Major', the Players Championship. Fowler is a great wind player - arguably the best - and has already gone close twice in the Open Championship. He is certain to be widely tipped for glory at Chambers Bay so it must make sense to get on now.
Back Sergio Garcia @ 40.039/1
If we're prepared to ignore a surprising missed cut in the Irish Open, Garcia is another must for the shortlist and still decent value. He was runner-up to Fowler at Sawgrass and also shared second spot with the American in last year's Open.
Indeed if the British equivalent is the best form guide to the Chambers Bay, then few have better credentials. Sergio is usually seen to best effect on links, shaping shots through the wind, and has the short game imagination to cope with this challenge. He's also got a decent record in the US Open, and rarely starts much bigger than 40.039/1 for any major.
Back Brandt Snedeker @ 65.064/1
Here's a player that ticks a lot of boxes for Chambers Bay, coming into good form and still available at tasty odds. Snedeker has been runner-up at Colonial and sixth in the Byron Nelson Championship on his last two starts. He is one of the world's finest short game exponents - a pivotal asset around Chambers Bay - and won earlier this year at Pebble Beach, another US links that sometimes hosts this major.
Thanks principally to that short game, Snedeker has a solid majors record, including five top-20 finishes in the last seven US Opens. He's also finished top-11 in two of the last three Open Championships. It's notable that he's swerving the Memorial, presumably to practice on a course that is expected to require a detailed preparation.