US Open Tips: 3/1 Siem the selection in Top German market

Is Marcel Siem (right) the value over a short-priced Martin Kaymer?
Is Marcel Siem (right) the value over a short-priced Martin Kaymer?

There are just three runners in this market and the defending US Open champion is one of them, but Steve Rawlings can't resist opposing a very short-priced Martin Kaymer...

"The pressure of defending, his own poor form, and even the possible mental scarring following that infamous collapse in January, all make Kaymer a very short favourite well worth going after, even though his two opponents look weak on paper."

Defending any title is hard but defending a major is doubly so and Martin Kaymer, the red-hot favourite to finish the week as the top German, might just be worth taking on. Here's how the last ten winners have fared the following year at the US Open.

Justin Rose - 12th
Webb Simpson - 32nd
Rory McIlroy - MC
Graeme McDowell - 14th
Lucas Glover - 58th
Tiger Woods - 6th
Angel Cabrera - MC
Geoff Ogilvy - 42nd
Michael Campbell - MC
Retief Goosen - 11th


Three missed cuts and just a single top-ten isn't a great return and when Kaymer defended his US PGA Championship in 2011, he missed the cut.

After somehow finishing fourth in Dubai, just a week after blowing a ten-stroke lead at the Abu Dhabi Championship, Kaymer has struggled throughout 2015 and when last sighted he was missing the cut in the Irish Open.

The pressure of defending, his own poor form, and even the possible mental scarring following that infamous collapse in January, all make Kaymer a very short favourite well worth going after, even though his two opponents look weak on paper.

On the face of it, Marcel Siem is arguably in worse form that Kaymer but he's never missed a cut in a major championship and he was 12th in this event last year. He gets up for the big events and looks a better proposition than Kaymer's only other rival, Stephan Jaeger, who plies his trade on the Web.com Tour.

Selection
Marcel Siem @ 3/1 (Sportsbook)

You can read my US Open in-play Betting blog and my 2015 US Open Betting Preview & Betting Guide behind the two links.


*You can follow me on Twitter @SteveThePunter

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