With options aplenty on this intriguing market, or man has thumbed the record books for clues. Will you be playing it safe or trying to be clever? Read what Steve thinks here...
“Backing Yes at a shade of odds-on is definitely the safe way to play but given that the 16th on Sunday has yielded the majority of aces recently, you could try and be clever and wait until after round three.”
Had I been sitting here writing about the hole-in-one market ten years ago, the advice would be very simple and very different to what it is now. Prior to the 2004 edition of the US Masters, in its 67 year history, only 14 aces had been recorded and backing No would be the obvious plan of action but in the last ten years we've seen ten made, and eight of them have been made on the same hole in round four - the 16th, also known as Redbud.
Redbud is a fun hole before the event even starts with the competitors often attempting to skim the ball across the lake if front of the hole in practice, to the amusement of the many patrons in attendance, and in 2009, Vijay Singh caused much delight when he did this.
That's worth viewing, not only because it's an incredible trick shot, but also because it gives you an idea as to why the record books are reading so differently of late. Note the way Singh's ball feeds into the hole - that's almost exactly where they've been placing the pin on Sundays of late and that's exactly why we've seen eight aces there in the last ten years.
In 2004 Padraig Harrington and Kirk Triplett, playing in consecutive groups, both aced it within ten minutes of each other and a year later, Trevor Immelman recorded a hole-in-one there too, as did Ian Poulter in 2008. Nathan Green and Ryan Moore both found the cup in one four years ago and in 2012 it was the turn of both Bo Van Pelt and Adam Scott.
Backing Yes at a shade of odds-on is definitely the safe way to play but given that the 16th on Sunday has yielded the majority of aces recently, you could try and be clever and wait until after round three. Or you could even lay Yes or back No prior to the event and then adjust your position prior to Sunday but I must warn you, that had disastrous consequences twelve months ago when Jamie Donaldson did this in round one.
The Sportsbook are also offering 2.56/4 about a hole-in-one on the 16th hole and that's certainly tempting but I'm going to play it safe after last year.
Back Yes @ 1.9110/11 (Sportsbook)
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