The Punter looks at the biggest of the nationality markets in play this week where he fancies taking on the market leaders. Read his thoughts here...
“Given the race to be the Top American is such a strong one, laying the front two, and Woods in-particular, looks like a decent strategy.”
Between 1996 and 2007, Fijian Vijay Singh was the only man to break the American stranglehold on the USPGA Championship but since then four of the last five winners have been from overseas, so if you fancy an American this week, check out his price in the Top American market first, but only if he's an outsider...
Tiger Woods is the hot favourite in the USPGA Championship market and he's an even hotter one to finish Top American but he's won the title four times in the last 14 years and the only time you'd have ever been better off backing him in the Top US Market was in 2009, when he gave up a third round lead to Y.E Yang.
The same sentiments apply to second favourite, Phil Mickelson. He won the title in 2005 and that's the only time he's finished the week ahead of his fellow countrymen, and that's despite the fact that in addition to his success at Baltusrol, he's also finished the event, in chronological order, T6-3-T8-T9-2-T6 and T7.
If you fancy laying a few, Paul Krishnamurty has highlighted several ways to take on some of the fancied players here and given the race to be the Top American is such a strong one, laying the front two, and Woods in-particular, looks like a decent strategy here also.
If you fancy backing, rather than laying, Keegan Bradley won the event in 2011 and he finished Top American last year, so he's the form horse for this particular race but I'd suggest looking even further afield. I really like the chances of Boo Weekley this week - as detailed here - so if he drifts out to around 130.0129/1 he might be worth a wager.
*You can follow me on Twitter @SteveThePunter
Win more In-Play with Betfair!
If you’d backed Phil Mickelson to win The Open for £25 on Betfair – after the completion of Round 3 – you would have won £735, after 5% commission.
£25 at Ladbrokes, Bet365, Paddy Power and William Hill would have only won you £500.
That means you were £235 better off with Betfair compared to all four bookmakers.