US Open 2017: Best Top Nationality Bets

David Lingmerth – a nice price at 11/2 according to The Punter
David Lingmerth – a nice price at 11/2 according to The Punter

Steve Rawlings has had a good look at all nationality markets, where he's dug up three players to side with from Germany, France and Sweden...


"Since missing the cut at the Players Championship, Lingmerth has finished a very respectable 12th in the Dean & Deluca Invitational and 15th in the Memorial Tournament. He’s played in the US Open twice before, finishing 17th in 2013 and 12th last year. He doesn’t have anything to fear from rank outsider, Chopra, who will need all three ahead of him in the market to underperform drastically, and Lingmerth strikes me as a really nice price."

Having looked at the three UK and Ireland nationality markets here, I've cast the net wider afield at the US Open and three markets in particular have captured my attention.

The way to profit in these markets is to find the smallest fields and take on the favourites. Rich rewards can be found because one or two players have failed to perform for one week. For example, look at the Top German market.

Multiple major champ, Martin Kaymer, is a class act and I can see him going well at Erin Hills. He won the event three years ago at Pinehurst, where, in common with this year's venue, all the greens had tightly mown roll-off areas. Time after time Kaymer saved par by lagging up from distance with his putter and I can see him adopting the same tactics this time around. He's in reasonable form, he can cope with any wind on the exposed track and he's an excellent links exponent. I wouldn't want to put anyone off backing him to win the tournament outright but he only needs to have an off week and he could easily finish behind the only other German in the field, Stephan Jaeger.

It's very hard to envisage Jaeger winning the tournament but he's no mug. He shot 58 on the Web.com Tour last year, on his way to his first title at the Ellie Mae Classic, which he ended up winning by seven strokes, and he qualified for the US Open at one of the Regional Qualifiers after he'd won the BMW Charity Pro-Am on the Web.Com Tour last month. And on Sunday he won his third Web.com event, beating Ted Potter Jr by two strokes in Illinois. I was quite happy to take the 11/4 about him in a match.

Only three men represent France this week - Alex Levy, Gregory Bourdy and Joël Stalter - and they all qualified for the event at Walton Heath. Stalter is the outsider of the three and so he should be. This is the 24-year-old's first major championship and I don't fancy his chances given he's missed seven of his last nine cuts on the European Tour.

Levy is the higher ranked of the two remaining and he's been in decent form of late but I quite like Bourdy. The 35-year-old has far more experience than Levy and I just get the feeling he'll have the patience to outperform his two rivals. He's not been in spectacular form of late but he's a great links player (Erin Hills has been described as having a links feel) and he finished tied for 18th in the event 12 months ago.

The only other market that really interests me is the Top Swedish where world number six, Henrik Stenson, is odds-on to get the better of Alex Noren, David Lingmerth and Daniel Chopra.

If he trades low enough, Stenson may well be worth taking on because he hasn't really fired this year yet and he doesn't have a brilliant US Open pedigree. He was ninth in 2009 and fourth three years ago but he lost interest and withdrew last year siting a minor injury and he looks opposable.

Noren has been playing the best golf of his career over the last 11 months, winning five times in 20 starts on the European Tour but the world number eight hasn't really done it stateside and his US Open record is very poor. He was 51st on debut in 2011 and he's missed three cuts since. It's quite possible he could leave all that behind him given how well he's playing at present but I'm going to take a chance on Lingmerth at a juicy 11/2.

Since missing the cut at the Players Championship, Lingmerth has finished a very respectable 12th in the Dean & Deluca Invitational and 15th in the Memorial Tournament. He's played in the US Open twice before, finishing 17th in 2013 and 12th last year. He doesn't have anything to fear from rank outsider, Chopra, who will need all three ahead of him in the market to underperform drastically, and Lingmerth strikes me as a really nice price.


Recommended Bets

Stephan Jaeger to be Top German @ 11/4 (Sportsbook)
Gregory Bourdy to be Top Frenchman @ 6/5 (Sportsbook)
David Lingmerth to be Top Swede @ 11/2 (Sportsbook)


*You can follow me on Twitter @SteveThePunter


Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open account using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn We'll Refund You £/€20 If the Bet Loses

T&Cs apply.

Discover the latest articles